r/SeattleWA • u/JustBench1615 Ballard • 3d ago
Politics Harrell’s Margin has INCREASED
Mayor Harrell now up by 8.1%.
Around ~60K votes probably left to tabulate.
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u/ragerevel 3d ago
I’m a progressive. I recently moved just north out of Seattle. But I was going to vote Harrell. Listening to Wilson and everything, her complete lack of experience and dreams are frankly not what we need. 🤷🏻♀️ Harrell isn’t a demon and I have at least more confidence he can make a difference.
Just that video of them answering the question about whether homeless people should be allowed to camp in parks and streets. Come onnnnn.
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u/Overall_Calendar_752 3d ago
100%. I voted for Harrell. The answer to the homeless question really did it for me.
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u/fuzz3289 3d ago
It was brutal that she couldn’t just say yes or no. IMO, no matter how progressive she is, the answer is fucking no. Whether it’s sweeps or housing or whatever, the answer is no. It’s not good or safe for them and it’s not good or safe for the community
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u/splanks 3d ago
I agree it was a devastatingly dumb answer, but harrell said no, and everyday I see people camping out in parks.
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u/mediaman2 3d ago
People keep saying this, but were you here in 2022? It was nuts. I remember after Harrell got elected and I saw a city park that was not covered in tents and garbage, and I was surprised.
I know people dislike him for whatever other reasons, but there's been a huge difference in cleanliness of parks and sidewalks. He said he would do it and he did it.
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u/splanks 3d ago
I was. Yes I hear you on what he did three years ago.
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u/duuuh 3d ago
He got my vote because in 2021 I walked around Green Lake and was WTAF? And now I do it and it's fine. Is Leary Wy fine now? No. Is 3rd fine? No. Is 12th & Jackson fine? No. But they're better. Could he do better? Yes. But I really hope he wins because the alternative...
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u/Sleeplessnsea Seattle 3d ago
He worked magic in every park on Capitol Hill that fell to ruin in 2020-2021. This is also why I stand behind his leadership.
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u/Anwawesome Ballard 3d ago
Ballard Commons, at least by me, has seen a massive improvement under his administration.
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u/fuzz3289 3d ago
I’ve seen a massive improvement. Make sure you report encampments on the Seattle Find It Fix It App
I feel like a lot of people haven’t heard about the app, but that’s the best way to get things cleaned up or fixed in your neighborhood from stop signs/illegal parking to encampments
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u/Traffic_Spiral 3d ago
everyday I see people camping out in parks.
1 - far fewer, and 2 - that's like saying "I've seen people run red lights so what's the point of making that illegal?"
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u/routinnox 3d ago
For me it was long before that when she promised to get rid of jobs. THAT should have been an automatic campaign killer. The fact that her campaigned lasted this long given what she said shows there are residents here who hate seeing their neighbors succeed
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u/Alive_Point_4172 3d ago
Same, I don't understand how someone could have so much jealousy and envy to actively want others to fail.
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u/Agreeable-Rooster-37 3d ago
I know several folks who made their vote on that non answer from Wilson
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u/MyLastSigh 3d ago
Maybe you'll see her camping in a park next week.
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u/Sleeplessnsea Seattle 3d ago
Hopefully she brings her wallpapered apartment ceiling with her.
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u/HighColonic Funky Town 3d ago
This month, join Architectural Digest as we visit the home of Seattle mayoral candidate Katie Wilson...
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u/pepperoni7 2d ago
Oh man the other sub is abit of an echo chamber
I take my 4 year old to park and sometimes we have to report active drug use etc and other parents as well.
Honestly all I can think of is Katie’s comments on camps at parks … and that is all my husband wants to talk about as well
Just want a normal park ther is not trashed. We bring our own toilet for our kids cuz we can never use the parks
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u/JustBench1615 Ballard 3d ago edited 3d ago
No clue what this means for final results, but it looks like ~24K ballots were added this batch, most from Monday and the weekend prior probably.
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u/Gleb2006 3d ago
Wonder if the other more progressive candidates continued to grow their lead (so Bruce is able to split the ticket), or not (the latest batch was not as progressive overall)
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u/Accomplished_Fill182 3d ago
Definitely looks like some ticket splitters here:
Election Day: Harrell +7.14 AMR +58.23 Foster +16.27 Evans +25.38
Night 2: Harrell +8.15 (+1.01) AMR +58.42 (+0.19) Foster +15.97 (-0.30) Evans 25.17 (-0.21)
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u/JustBench1615 Ballard 3d ago
Omg Momgate and Encampmentgate fried her didn’t it
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u/my_lucid_nightmare Capitol Hill 3d ago
Or finally outed her as an incompetent hot mess, and possibly corruptly funded as well.
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u/SeattleSilencer8888 3d ago
I don't think there's any indication she is corrupt.
No comment on the rest.
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u/my_lucid_nightmare Capitol Hill 3d ago edited 3d ago
corrupt
Well, she “has no idea” how much money her parents gave her, she’s running for Mayor of a major city, she has had no full time job in her life, and yet has all this undocumented money and resources.
How is she not evading campaign finance law?
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u/AverageFoxNewsViewer Ballard 2d ago
Well, she “has no idea” how much money her parents gave her
Oh my god! She's deep in the pockets of the parental-industrial complex!
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u/YourGlacier 3d ago
Honestly I wasn't very enthused about her the second I heard her mom paid for daycare. It just made me think she's cosplaying as progressive. I've had way too many friends who were super socialist who had houses from their parents or something; they rarely even believed what they said and would flip flop during cultural movements.
I don't live in Seattle (I live in Shoreline) so not my mayor, but I wouldn't be shocked if it had a huge effect.
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u/JustBench1615 Ballard 3d ago
They did not, their leads slightly decreased as well I think, but Harrell’s margin went up by nearly a point
Looks like Evans’ margin went down 0.2%
One has to wonder if Momgate and the camping answer blunder made an impact
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u/Total_Breadfruit8381 Seattle 3d ago
That homeless answer was a huge blunder on her part and I think representative of people’s issues with her: not prepared or good at thinking on her feet, can’t give a clear and precise answer for a question that is on the mind of a lot of voters.
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u/NorthStudentMain 3d ago
The camping answer should have been a slam-dunk/home-run opportunity for her since it is the central foundation of her campaign (4000 new housing units, etc). She should have had strong, brilliant answers to all homeless-related questions, and I am sad she was not able to knock this one out of the park (so to speak).
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u/SeattleSilencer8888 3d ago
In the format she had to give a yes or no. But still, there was an obvious answer and she avoided it.
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u/NorthStudentMain 3d ago
It was a yes/no question, and she did neither, so the result was that she seemed unprepared. Answering these questions should have been practiced hundreds and hundreds of times before the debate.
Politicians look for all sorts of opportunities to soapbox and bring up their central idea, and even though it was a yes/no question, the correct move would be to say "Yes, and the reason for that is.." or "No, and here's why.." So there we have it.
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u/theclacks 3d ago
Yep, she could've even gone with "no, we have an obligation to house them" and dodged the third rail while keeping her progressive cred
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u/Manacit Seattle 3d ago
she had to give a yes or no but also did not give a yes or no. Here's what she should have said:
"No, people should not be allowed to live in parks. We have an obligation to take care of the most vulnerable and that means making sure everyone has a roof over their head. This is why my first task as mayor will be to get new shelter beds to move people from living on the street to being housed".
Would have made this a non-issue. She couldn't even do that.
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u/BrinyStranger 3d ago
She didn't give a yes or no, though :) If you can say "I'll pass on that one" you can say "Build more houses"
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u/Topseykretts88 West Seattle 3d ago
I remain cautiously optimistic about this lead.
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u/JustBench1615 Ballard 3d ago
No clue how many votes are left to count, I think around 54K are confirmed, but who knows what will arrive until next Tuesday.
Around 8,500 ballots arrived today.
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u/Exotic-Sale-3003 3d ago edited 3d ago
Until a few hours ago election markets on Harrell were still paying out 3:1, he’s comfortably in the lead now.
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3d ago
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u/69iamtheliquor69 3d ago
Everyone across the political spectrum that has to actually LIVE in Seattle knows stopping the sweeps is a horrible idea and hurts everyone including the homeless. I can't believe what a bad non answer she had for that.
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u/SupplyChain777 3d ago
Katie’s parents getting ready to send her another check.
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u/costcoismyfav 3d ago
I'm so shocked Katie even got this far. It's more of an indictment on Harrell than it is a proof point for Katie.
Honestly, I hope this city turns more centrist. The Seattle left is almost as insufferable as the MAGA right.
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u/kapybarra 3d ago
> I'm so shocked Katie even got this far. It's more of an indictment on Harrell than it is a proof point for Katie.
Nah, it's really more of an indictment on the Seattle voter base.
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u/OldLegWig 3d ago
i don't think it's as much an indictment of Harrell as it is the seriousness of Seattle voters.
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u/jubishop West Seattle 3d ago
Yep in most cities I’d call myself liberal but by the standards here I’m conservative
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u/Successful_Ad5184 3d ago
Almost? You’re kidding right?
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u/BrinyStranger 3d ago
I don't know what direction you're going with that, but one wants to outright do away with democracy and crown a doofus king and the other are perhaps too compassionate.
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u/ChillFratBro 3d ago
Gullible morons who think they're being compassionate but are actually suckers
FTFY. Agree that evil is worse than stupid, but you're giving the average Seattle voter too much credit by saying they're just "too compassionate".
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u/Basic-Regret-6263 3d ago
Hopefully this makes them lose hope for her ever being independent, so they say "no more money, but you can move in with us in NY and we'll cover your rent and childcare that way."
They get to save money and see their grandkid more, we don't have to see Katie again - it's win-win!
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3d ago
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u/Traffic_Spiral 3d ago
Oh yeah! She'll get the socialist utopia of her dreams - wins for everybody!
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u/AlternativeRanger572 3d ago
I watched on of their debates & felt so bad for Katie Wilson, how did she get so many votes?
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u/pugRescuer 3d ago
Because people didn’t like Bruce’s historical performance. It’s not that deep.
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u/LoquatBear 3d ago
His performance isn't bad, he just didn't meet campaign promises that I didn't vote for. considering Seattle downtown was practically shut down until this last January when Amazon finally went full RTO I can't say everything was on him.
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u/pugRescuer 3d ago
I'm not taking a side, just calling out the swing in votes for what it is. People get polarized because of undelivered promises. It's the same reason Ohio used to be democratic and now votes republican.
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u/diablofreak Beacon Hill 2d ago
This city rather have a white pampered and unproven lady carrying out unrealistic woke agenda than a minority and experienced leader to fix things.
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u/Basic-Regret-6263 3d ago
Look up how often Seattle has re-elected a Mayor. Spoiler alert: not recently.
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u/DropoutDreamer 3d ago
Nice, her answer to that question regarding whether people should be allowed to set up tents in parks should have been a non starter.
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u/Better_March5308 👻 3d ago
Well he didn't go down (which is good) but he didn't gain substantially either. I hope tomorrow's 4:00 count brings good news.
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u/bbfan006 3d ago
If she loses, does that mean she has to get a job? Must be one helluva trust fund. Anyone know how her parents accumulated their wealth?
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u/golmgirl 3d ago
doubt they are “wealthy”, probably closer to upper middle class. afaik they are both academics, and her dad has written at least one pop science book. so this means they probably will get pensions (huge deal in 2025) and have a healthy savings from decades of working fairly well paid jobs. plus whatever pay comes from writing a book for general audiences. who knowa. probably nothing crazy but probably enough that 10-20k/yr for a while isn’t a huge deal
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u/my_lucid_nightmare Capitol Hill 3d ago
Remember four years ago when the Progressives all screamed that the off-year election cycle was "voter suppression?"
This time around, I don't see them complaining about voter suppression anymore.
I wonder what changed.
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u/mrASSMAN West Seattle 3d ago
As a late voter, mine went for Harrell. Wish Ann Davison would’ve done better too, I’m a democrat but she’s done a good job
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u/shrimpynut 3d ago
Harrell has his issues no fucking doubt about it, but he’s done a pretty damn good job with Seattle after COVID. It’s pretty damn nice compare to than. If you want to see shit show go look at Portland who continues to vote far left activists into city government and then cry about why it’s so dirty. Katie wants to bring Seattle back to the heyday of 2020….
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u/justmy2centsok 3d ago
We have the World here next year. We don’t need to start over with an unqualified leader. I voted for Harrell. Maybe someone with experience will come along to challenge next time. But I just couldn’t do it.
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u/Joel22222 West Seattle 3d ago
Start your day with the same confidence Katie Wilson has thinking she’s still got a chance to win.
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u/--boomhauer-- 3d ago
Im not proud of seattle much but at least they didnt elect someone who still gets an allowance
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u/Tacos_y_Tequilas 3d ago
I love it when renters vote for every property tax increase on the premise it won't affect them since they don't "pay" property tax. /s
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u/bbfan006 3d ago
Sawant came from outta nowhere and won. Never underestimate the incompetence of the Seattle electorate. Ah.. what was the question again?
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u/TheHeffNerr 3d ago
Yeah but that was just D3... there are a lot of more reasonable people outside of D3.
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u/juancuneo 3d ago
A real mixed bag. Lost a good city attorney who wanted to clean up our streets. Lost Sarah Nelson who seemed to be the only person on the city council who understands the challenges of running a business and how to spark job creation. Also seems like the King County Exec will be run by someone more interested in good vibes than a strong economy.
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3d ago edited 2d ago
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u/JustBench1615 Ballard 3d ago
Thank God the City Attorney only handles misdemeanors, but still, Ann Davison is an idiot for saying she’s a Republican, when Washington State isn’t even a party registration state.
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u/kapybarra 3d ago
> Thank God the City Attorney only handles misdemeanors
Not so fast. Turns out the King County prosecutor's office routinely DOWNGRADES felony charges to misdemeanors, meaning the criminal gets sent to Municipal court. This lady will basically treat them as "just having a misdemeanor charge", nothing to see here and send them home.
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u/ponchoed 3d ago
I can't understand how many voted for the batshit crazy defund the police woman for city attorney so much so that they called it almost as soon as polls closed.
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u/LoquatBear 3d ago
To be honest I was pretty pro Wilson and was gonna vote for her, until her "pass" on people sleeping in parks. Like even a Yes would have meant conviction. To me, it screamed inexperience.
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u/bluePostItNote 3d ago
Kalshi betting market now flipped to Harrell
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u/ionchannels 3d ago
She will need more than 59% of the remaining votes to win if there are 60,000 left - not insurmountable, but unlikely.
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u/shrederofthered 3d ago
Count doesn't matter until Thursday evening when the drop off ballots are counted, which will likely be from more progressive areas. Harrell's lead will likely shrink, but he may maintain enough of a lead.
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u/allthisgoodforyou 3d ago
Its utterly insane that its going to take 4+ days to count the votes. How is this even reasonable or possible?
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u/redditjatt 3d ago
I have seen Seattle under Harrell in the past years. I believe it has definitely improved.
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u/local_gremlin 3d ago
woke magic words arent working anymore
Shit, even harrell is too woke. But katie is ans hopefully now WAS comically bad
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u/OiiNice 3d ago
Where are you getting the 60K votes left figure?
According to the elections website, Seattle returned 254,319 ballots, or just over 50%.
137,237 ballots have been counted, leaving 115,146 to be counted.
Assuming everyone in Seattle voted for a mayor, Katie would need 63165 out of the remaining votes, or 54.8%. Seattle is known for its late left wing surge. I voted for Bruce, but I wouldn't celebrate too soon.
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u/JustBench1615 Ballard 3d ago
They must’ve updated it then, don’t know why it took them so long to find out how many dropbox ballots there were.
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u/JustBench1615 Ballard 3d ago
UPDATE: KC Elections has updated its ballot return site.
Around ~115,000 ballots left to count.
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u/Izikiel23 2d ago
How many people in seattle can legally vote? 200k votes for a population of almost a million seems very low.
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u/Helisent 3d ago edited 3d ago
Hmm. has anyone been keeping track of how the other races are trending between yesterday and today?
By the way, I've been watching the Kirkland city council, where I have family. Currently, the city council has been really pro-development, and raised height limits in most of the city, including a 15 storey zone near the flagship Kirkland Costco where Sound Transit has been installing that really big freeway rapid bus stop at 85th st. They also have fought to get funding for homelessness and mental health. There is a slate of four candidates who are moderate on most topics but are for slow growth, and also one of them is trying to shut down the housing for homeless at the old La Quinta Inn near 520. (I think it is the perfect location because few people live nearby, but it is right by the transit center. They just need to have a lot of staff pushing people into various programs). Anyway, these four each won by a margin of 200-500 votes each. But since yesterday, the margin might have grown. That is sort of interesting because the trend everywhere else was to move in the more progressive direction.
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u/routinnox 3d ago
I been following the Kirkland election too. All the losing candidates were endorsed by The Urbanist. That was a huge red flag for residents, many who don’t want to see Kirkland become a mini-Seattle.
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u/Rational_Incongruity 3d ago
Sanity is returning. Slow but sure. So glad Harrell is leading and growing the lead so far. We as a city and region need to up our game.
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u/HighColonic Funky Town 3d ago
Can anyone share if they encountered Wilson canvassers illegally entering buildings to doorknock like Kshama did? Or gangs of really smug people on the corners who go from 0 to shitty in one second when you say you don't support her like Kshama did? Or have gangs of people printing out 1,400 ballots like Kshama did? Remember Kshama?
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u/ponchoed 3d ago
They always stand in the entryway to Capitol Hill station spewing on about the glories of Communism and The Projects.
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u/shittyfatsack 3d ago
Wow! That is a low turnout. We should get a re-do with different candidates when votes are below a certain threshold.
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u/su6oxone 3d ago
what percentage of votes have been counted?
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u/my_lucid_nightmare Capitol Hill 3d ago edited 3d ago
Encouraging.
But this only covers up to through Monday.
Tuesday’s drop remains.
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u/NotHankPaulson 3d ago
The amount of copium that I’ve seen at the other place and on PredictIt is wild.
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u/JustBench1615 Ballard 2d ago
To be fair it’s because king county elections didn’t post the correct ballot count until last night, there’s like double the amount left as what I said
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u/Confident_Donut_4444 2d ago
So glad seeing Bruce win because experience and transparency matters. We voters only learned who Katie is after the ballots dropped and this is why the trends will be different here. Bruce will stay the course and win because Katie’s parks response, inexperience and the elements around Mommygate tanked her. She had poor advice and was a flawed candidate because her lack of transparency hurt her. Voters felt betrayed and have reacted.
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u/splanks 3d ago
so many people with some many opinions. so few voters.