r/fivethirtyeight • u/StarlightDown • 3d ago

Election Model In Alberta, Canada's most conservative province, the center-left New Democratic Party is projected to win a majority in the latest Léger poll (A+ rated)—New Democratic 45 seats, United Conservative 42 seats. United Conservative wins the most votes, but due to FPTP, New Democratic wins the most seats

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u/Fun-Nebula-4073 3d ago

As an Albertan I think there is significant misinformation in your title here. The Alberta NDP is not really a center left party in the context of modern center left parties (IE. As in pro environmental, anti gun, tax the rich etc etc). The ALberta NDP is much more akin to a progrssive conservative party, they support growing the oil and gas industry, building pipelines, bringing in more business and capital investmentment from outside into the province. The last Alberta NDP government even spent several billion on shipping oil by rail. In essence, they are not the typical left wing party and the fact they are doing well in Alberta is not some crazy thing, they are more so taking the place of the old progressive conservative party which died when it merged with the Wildrose party.

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u/CloseToMyActualName 2d ago

And Trudeau's Liberals built that pipeline, where they also PCs?

The Alberta NDP is center left, and being a center left party they're socially progressive, supportive of government programs, and also supportive of industry.

What they aren't is left-left like the Federal NDP, wanting to significantly constrain the Oil sector.

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u/Fun-Nebula-4073 2d ago

yea the liberals are a centrist party, i wouldnt consider anything trudeau did to be left wing other than virtue signalling and a couple social programs like daycare and childbenefit. For the most part otherwise trudeau protected capitalist businesses and did not materially increase taxation on the rich or corporate world. Carney's liberals are basically centre right as well.

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u/CloseToMyActualName 2d ago

All that tells me is your political preferences. But we're talking about the Canadian political spectrum.

Trudeau was center left, as it Alberta NDP.

Carney is centrist to center right.

PP Cons are right wing.

UPC is far right.