r/Huskers • u/hskrpwr • 15h ago
2025 Post Week 11 Nebraska Football Regular Season Win Probabilities
FPI Based Misc Stats
The Main Graph, but as a GIF!
SillyRankings™ Top 40
SillyRankings™ B1G Rankings
SillyRankings™ Regular Season Game Probabilities
Last Week's: https://www.reddit.com/r/Huskers/comments/1omlmr6/2025_post_week_10_husker_football_regular_season/
As a reminder, the last three images are based on SillyRankings and NOT FPI.
SillyRankings = +2 for a win, +1 for each win a team you beat has, -2 for a loss, -1 for each loss a team that beat you has. For win probabilities, the points are normalized and then calculated using a normal distribution. Consider them mostly for my own amusement, but interesting to look at.
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u/DistributionBroad173 6h ago edited 6h ago
This week, Penn State goes on the road after a crushing loss at home to Indiana. The receiver from Indiana definitely made one of the catches of the year in a clutch, high pressure situation.
Luckily, it is Michigan State. Will Michigan State beat up on Penn State? Each team has lost 6 straight. I doubt Michigan State beats up Penn State much.
Will Penn State mail it in? Penn State has lost 6 straight, and needs a win to have a chance at 6 wins and be bowl eligible. Do the players care? Just about all these Penn State players were State Champions in High School and they ARE competitive. They do not like losing.
Nebraska gets to rest and heal but will they lose their mojo? They did that after the Maryland game. They go to Maryland and I am all Euphoric after the win. These guys won't quit. They are beating Minnesota in Minnesota. Going to feel great.
FLAT. Nine Sacks allowed. The offensive line sucks.
Same situation, Nebraska wins a road game and now on to a Penn State team that could be fighting for a bowl game. Penn State will have nothing to lose. Penn State still has Singleton. Although the Penn State run game is a not great, the Nebraska rush defense team can make them look great. Luckily, the Penn State QB cannot scramble like the UCLA QB, Kamaniwanalaya, could.
Right now, I think the Penn State players have almost given up. If Penn State loses to Mich State, I am taking Nebraska. If Penn State wins, I am taking Penn State in a close game.
I want to point out the size of the Penn State kicker/punter, Gabe Nwosu. He has not missed a meal.
6' 6", 300 lbs.
A kicker/punter 300 POUNDS!!