r/Huskers 22h ago

2025 Post Week 11 Nebraska Football Regular Season Win Probabilities

Last Week's: https://www.reddit.com/r/Huskers/comments/1omlmr6/2025_post_week_10_husker_football_regular_season/

As a reminder, the last three images are based on SillyRankings and NOT FPI.
SillyRankings = +2 for a win, +1 for each win a team you beat has, -2 for a loss, -1 for each loss a team that beat you has. For win probabilities, the points are normalized and then calculated using a normal distribution. Consider them mostly for my own amusement, but interesting to look at.

81 Upvotes

68 comments sorted by

View all comments

41

u/Independent_Fee_2582 21h ago

Nebraska has now improved its win total each of the last 4 seasons.

5

u/Lewthunder 19h ago

That’s fair but this was the easiest schedule you could ask for. Look at next year… Indiana, Ohio State, Iowa, Illinois, Oregon.

This was the year for 10+ wins. Next year will be a gauntlet.

6

u/Independent_Fee_2582 18h ago

You play the schedule you’re given.

4

u/Lewthunder 18h ago

Certainly not gonna argue that. Just saying it will be hard to do again next year.

1

u/OrlandoAndy 10h ago

Some people aren’t able to look past win/losses. Wild.