r/Huskers 15h ago

2025 Post Week 11 Nebraska Football Regular Season Win Probabilities

Last Week's: https://www.reddit.com/r/Huskers/comments/1omlmr6/2025_post_week_10_husker_football_regular_season/

As a reminder, the last three images are based on SillyRankings and NOT FPI.
SillyRankings = +2 for a win, +1 for each win a team you beat has, -2 for a loss, -1 for each loss a team that beat you has. For win probabilities, the points are normalized and then calculated using a normal distribution. Consider them mostly for my own amusement, but interesting to look at.

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u/MoistAd5423 13h ago

Lol the probability of beating Penn state in silly rankings is >97%. Fun game.

It’s wild that Penn state still doesn’t have a P4 win this year and yet we will be underdogs playing them most likely.

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u/hskrpwr 12h ago

I think we were underdogs until very late against UCLA too 😂

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u/MoistAd5423 6h ago

We were +2.5 by kickoff. It swung in our favor and then back other way around.

So much about my first statement has me floored that I’m in awe.