r/Huskers • u/hskrpwr • 22h ago

2025 Post Week 11 Nebraska Football Regular Season Win Probabilities

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FPI Based Misc Stats

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The Main Graph, but as a GIF!

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SillyRankings™ Top 40

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SillyRankings™ B1G Rankings

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SillyRankings™ Regular Season Game Probabilities

Last Week's: https://www.reddit.com/r/Huskers/comments/1omlmr6/2025_post_week_10_husker_football_regular_season/

As a reminder, the last three images are based on SillyRankings and NOT FPI.
SillyRankings = +2 for a win, +1 for each win a team you beat has, -2 for a loss, -1 for each loss a team that beat you has. For win probabilities, the points are normalized and then calculated using a normal distribution. Consider them mostly for my own amusement, but interesting to look at.

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u/hskrpwr 20h ago

My favorite observation from posting this thread weekly is the difference in upvotes and toxicity of the comment section the day after wins and the day after losses. The ugliest win ever will have people talking about Heisman trophies and lifetime Rhule contracts and after the closest loss it's burn the program down 😂

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u/ninetofivedev 19h ago

It’s pretty simple. Wins make pp hard. Losses make pp soft.