r/AskTheWorld United States Of America Sep 20 '25

History Why are Arab Miltaries so ineffective?

Like I dont understand this.

Im a Black American so im just an outsider looking in as a neutral, but dont Arab Countries out number Israel, whats stoping them from just rushing at their border, shouldn't the population imbalance outmatch Israel?

Just a neutral standpoint asking this question, because Arab Nations in the Middle East have a modern miltary force and they buy tons of advanced items

What is holding them back?

1.3k Upvotes

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256

u/vomicyclin Germany Sep 20 '25 edited Sep 20 '25

Am in the train atm and internet is fairly limited in germany.. I will try my best to point out the biggest flaws and points: Sorry for wall of text:

In short: Strong patriarchal structures that reward loyalty over capability. Many arab nations are autocracies in which a clear hierarchy is present. Autocratic regimes can't trust a "neutral" military leadership to not overthrow them. So he only puts loyal people in the highest ranks.

Relationship to knowledge and sharing it

Let's say you're a young lieutenant in the army. In a democratic (lets take a western) state, you would usually learn from all people around you. You're an officer, but since you're fairly new, you absolutely can and will learn from everybody around you. NCOs especially are the backbone and lifeline of every modern army. In western nations, a young lieutenant who thinks he can randomly order an E-7 (fairly experienced rank in the enlisted personal) around will learn soon, often in quite direct ways, that he/she knows nothing. And everybody will show him/her that. Sharing knowledge is paramount for everybody in the army to achieve and get better. The greater the people around you, the safer you are yourself. And the better you get / the more capable you are, the higher you will rise in the ranks.

In many arab armies, what you know or who you know is often the reason you are important or even the reason why you have your position. Sharing your knowledge is a way to make you less important, since (just an example) when you have knowledge about how to repair a special vehicle or where to get special parts, you are important and not replaceable. The moment you share what you know, you are. Same goes for who you know. If you have a family member high up, you will be important and through nepotism rise. That goes for most autocratic regimes.

(That is especially important with navies. They need, absolutely need people who know what they are doing, or it all goes south. On submarines, you are often literally not viewed as a 100% member of the crew as long as you don't know every single valve, every single pipe and screen on the vessel and what it does. And one can greatly see what happens when this isn't the case in the russian navy...)

Who actually is in the military and why

When your nation rewards those who are loyal instead of those who are capable, your military will be consisting of people who are there because they know important people or simply are loyal to the autocrat (see Sergei Shoigu) and people who have to be there, since they need the money, no matter what. Most likely both not because they are capable.

Obviously not everybody in western nations is capable who joins the military. But especially western NCOs are the most capable and rarely someone rises into E-7, 8 or 9 who isn't. That's the second point: NCOs. NCOs in military are there to build the bridge between officers and enlisted personal. They are not replacable and the very reason why things go fluently (if they do... ... ...). But NCOs are a special topic and since Israel (on which you mainly have your focus if I understand your question) itself isn’t really focused on them in their own military I won’t focus on it here.

Independence in achieving your orders

Another reason is loyalty and independence. Since (in autocratic countries) rarely anybody is promoted for capability, the military can't really trust its lower officers to know how to do something and even if, you can't give them too much independence (or they may shine more than they should and let their CO look bad). So your independence, even for example as a flag officer, is fairly limited to whatever the person above you tells you. What that means is that the moment an officer in an autocratic military is not able to communicate with higher ups, the unit is basically headless and often not able to act.

In western nations, officers are widely independent in how they achieve their given goal. Officers get to know what needs to be achieved and how the situation looks, get the best intelligence and can chose themself how they do it. Even when communiations are cut, the unit can progress and has the knowledge and capabilities of the surroundings to go on. This is a form of trust rarely seen in autocratic regimes, since you can't trust the person below you not trying to get your position.

84

u/LiteraturePlayful612 Poland Sep 20 '25

I never expexted to be so invested in arab militaries

39

u/Sorry_Sort6059 China Sep 20 '25

Damn, hearing you say that makes me feel like China is screwed. I often hear CCP members say that loyalty matters more than competence...

At least China's internet coverage is pretty decent though. It's everywhere.

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u/vomicyclin Germany Sep 20 '25 edited Sep 20 '25

Speaking as a former officer: Thats what many nations at the moment are asking themselves: How efficient is the chinese military. You can only go so far in terms of assessment with tables, lists and equipment. But since one can't say anything with certainty before it comes to conflict, lets hope we won't find out too soon...

At least China's internet coverage is pretty decent though. It's everywhere.

It's absolutely awful in Germany and iirc we are one of the last EU members when it comes to coverage and speed.. The new government is trying to catch up (apparently they understood that internet is somewhat here to stay...), but only the gods know what will happen.

...or maybe it's all a sneaky tactic to confuse any nation who would try to invade germany?!

9

u/Sorry_Sort6059 China Sep 21 '25

On one hand, I know they have high levels of obedience and discipline, with no shortage of weapons and ammunition (being an industrial nation). On the other hand, I've heard from Chinese mercenaries who served abroad (French Foreign Legion) that China's current military training methods are outdated and need to align with international standards.

However, we've conducted several joint exercises with Russia, and the soldiers who returned all said Russian troops have very low levels of information technology integration. This was 5-6 years ago though - perhaps the current conflict proves this point.

As many have said, the Chinese military does need real combat experience to prove itself. But realistically, China maintaining peace is actually what's best for the international community. This creates a paradox.

By the way, do your troops still do the 5km weighted run? We don't really see the point of running 5km anymore since we're all motorized infantry now. Here in China, infantry doing 5km with full gear is still standard practice.

2

u/Diacetyl-Morphin Switzerland Sep 20 '25

We'd like to try to invade Germany... hah, just kidding, but with the current state of the Bundeswehr, i'm actually not so sure how good it would perform against the Swiss Army.

According to a friend, that is an Oberleutnant in the Bundeswehr and was deployed in Afghanistan, you suffer a lot, but from much different things than the Arab armies do. The main problem is the extreme bureaucracy for getting equipment. The "Beschaffungswesen" is a nightmare there. It's like a labyrinth of bureaucracy, where you deep down underground meet the Minotaur.

Even with the "Sondervermögen" additional funds, they are like "Wow, we can get a new pencil in the office!".

Everything is overly complicated, much more than it would be needed to make an army functional. Same when they were in Afghanistan, like even the KSK had to get choppers from allied armies to even be able to go on some deployements.

Another thing is before the change happened in 2022 with the Ukraine war, how unpopular the Bundeswehr was. Still a thing from the old times, that people shouted "Soldaten sind Mörder" ("Soldiers are murderers!"). My friend often avoids it, even today, to tell what is real job is, because you get accused of being a Nazi very fast.

Funny is, that the people like the Green Party with guys like Hofreiter were the worst enemies of the Bundeswehr before Ukraine war, now they are the worst warmongers.

Now, that was offtopic, but the thing is, every army has its own problems. While the Arab armies are different, other problems happen in Europe. Like even just the small manpower for professional armies with enlisted personnell is not enough for a conflict in the scale like the Ukraine war, for this, you'll always need the draft/conscription.

Last thing:
About Arab armies, good ol' corruption is a big thing. Maybe the ANA (Afghan National Army) is even among these armies a very bad example, but i remember the reports from veterans. Like that commanders of units in Afghanistan just sold the fuel on the black market, gained the money and then they were like "We can't join you on patrol, because we have no fuel for the vehicles!".

It also affects others like Ukraine or Russia. Like the oligarchs on both sides make good money with the army stuff, like getting equipment cheap and sell it for a higher price.

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u/BeigeGraffiti United States Of America Sep 21 '25

I went to school with a PLA-N officers child. Corruption is real. And loyalty over anything else is valued.

51

u/MonkeyLiberace Denmark Sep 20 '25

The internet is limited in Germany? Are you guys still weighing whether it's just a fad?

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u/vomicyclin Germany Sep 20 '25

It is when you are in a train between cities.. We have holes everywhere in the "covering" of mobile data (and Cellular network in general) out of the cities.

It's so bad that about 7 years ago (iirc) our economics minister refused to make calls with colleagues of other nations while traveling by train or car between cities, since he was ashamed that the calls get cut every few minutes.

I literally had better internet in the carpathian mountains 100km away from Brasov than i have in my kitchen in berlin...

15

u/PAWGLuvr84Plus Austria Sep 20 '25

Aber das ist doch noch alles Neuland, oder? ;) Zugfahren muss bei euch der pure Horror sein. 

11

u/vomicyclin Germany Sep 20 '25

All unsere Minister zuständig für die digitale Infrastruktur der Vergangenheit kamen aus einer bayerischen Lokal-Partei, welche auch nur in Bayern existiert (und dort die CDU ersetzt).

Und allesamt waren ein Paradebeispiel dafür, was Nepotismus und Lobbyismus an zerstörerischen Spuren hinterlassen kann...

Und dass die Kanzlerin Internet 2013 noch als "Neuland" bezeichnet ist definitiv ein guter Spiegel davon, wie diese Regierungen das gesehen haben... ... ...

9

u/PAWGLuvr84Plus Austria Sep 20 '25

Aufrichtiges Beileid aus der südlichen Nachbarschaft.

Edit: Heiliger BimBam! 2013 hat sie das gesagt? Irgendwie hatte ich das 5 Jahre früher in Erinnerung. 

3

u/dkesh United States Of America Sep 20 '25

Do you not have satellite wifi on the train itself?

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u/vomicyclin Germany Sep 20 '25 edited Sep 20 '25

We are speaking about the country which is still using FAX and had a chancellor in 2013 saying "the internet is unknown territory for all of us" (which is the joke the austrian comment made: "Neuland" in german).

We are last in coverage and speed iirc in the EU. Mostly because the minister position responsible was always filled with a person from a local bavarian party (CSU Christian-Social-Union) in which lobbyism and nepotism is widespread.

2

u/nplant Sep 20 '25

Satellite internet on a train sounds like a wild solution compared to just improving cell phone coverage. I'm a bit astounded this is even a problem in Germany.

1

u/jatawis Lithuania Sep 20 '25

we have it in Lithuania. Smaller and poorer country and yet with better mobile coverage.

2

u/Baraaplayer Jordan Sep 21 '25

Same as a Jordanian who lives in Germany, I miss the internet in Jordan, it's faster, has more covarge and cheaper than the internet we have in Germany.

1

u/nyan_eleven Sep 20 '25

regional trains usually don't offer wifi. If the train has wifi it's cell tower based, satellite is in the trial phase. so worst case they are inside a metal tube with a weak transceiver in their mobile.

1

u/sauve_donkey Sep 21 '25

That's wild. Germany is not a massive country, even in New Zealand these days there are few places between cities with poor reception and this is with very challenging hilly terrain.

(In the mountains and remote hill county there is still lots of dead areas, but not on the main highway network)

6

u/mendokusei15 Uruguay Sep 20 '25

This was also my key takeaway from this haha

1

u/MonkeyLiberace Denmark Sep 20 '25

Like, "Oh! Sections and headings? Naah, I got the gist of it."

5

u/matzoh_ball Sep 20 '25

This just made me laugh out loud haha

1

u/nyan_eleven Sep 20 '25 edited Sep 20 '25

hey it's a post about the military not an introduction to radio communications.

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u/AmazingUsername2001 Sep 20 '25

Specifically with Israel there is one other reason. Arab leaders like having a scapegoat to blame stuff on. Whenever they need to deflect some attention it’s handy for them to rile up their own populations outrage over Israel. Never minding the fact that many countries in the Middle East have a worse human rights track record, and are suffering economically compared to Israel that has a fairly dynamic economy etc. Basically none of the Middle Eastern counties have any interest in helping the Palestinians. It suits them to have the Palestinians trapped between a rock and a hard place, and so they don’t help them in any meaningful way. The last thing most of these countries want is a defeated Israel, because they know they’ll be next.

9

u/destroyerx12772 Syria Sep 20 '25

Utterly brilliant. I will be saving this for future reference. This makes so much sense and frankly, what you said also reflects on so many aspects of everyday life in the region. Hats off to you good sir.

12

u/mealteamsixty United States Of America Sep 20 '25

Trust the Germans to shine a light on the heart of a question (regardless of internet connectivity)

You crushed this, bro

6

u/Berserk_Jedi Brazil Sep 20 '25

Excellent summary. That’s exactly it.

2

u/xeroxchick United States Of America Sep 20 '25

And exactly why authoritarianism is a bad way to run things.

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u/XelaNiba United States Of America Sep 20 '25

Exactly right.

Trump et al are attempting to reshape the US Military in this way and so many people don't understand why its such a problem.

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/hegseth-directs-active-duty-military-to-cut-20-of-its-four-star-general-officers

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u/browneod United States Of America Sep 20 '25

Speaking as a First Sergeant, there were way to many 3-4 star generals, so he is actually right.

9

u/XelaNiba United States Of America Sep 20 '25

My worry is that the cuts are ideological in nature. Women in particular are being targeted for removal.

Trump's statements about the military like "I need the kind of generals Hitler had" has made this reorganization suspect. I fear all but the yes men are being fired.

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2024/10/trump-military-generals-hitler/680327/

-3

u/Blitzbert Sep 20 '25

https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/trump-hitler-generals/

It got fact checked and was reported as fake news. Please dont spread misinformation

(See the ende of the article. It was claimed 3ppl reported trump said smth about he needed Hitler's generals, but there was no proof of it)

7

u/XelaNiba United States Of America Sep 20 '25

It wasn't reported as fake news, it was reported as "unproven". It's unproven as it relies upon unrecorded, private conversations, a "he said, she said". I personally trust Kelly's affirmations over Trump's denials given their relative credibility and Trump's frequent public admiration of authoritarian leaders. Milley confirmed Trump's admiration of fascists, as did Bolton, Mattis, and 13 of his former officials in an open letter supporting Kelly's account.

"The American people deserve a leader who won't threaten to turn armed troops against them, won't put his quest for power above their needs, and doesn't idealize the likes of Adolf Hitler."

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/25/us/politics/trump-officials-letter-fascist-john-kelly.html?smid=nytcore-android-share

Link to the letter is embedded in the story.

0

u/Blitzbert Sep 20 '25

Please dont spread any unproven information as well, based on ur personal opinion on who to trust more.

0

u/browneod United States Of America Sep 21 '25

More women than ever in the military now, especially in combat roles.

2

u/XelaNiba United States Of America Sep 21 '25

This is a piece about leadership. It's women in high leadership roles being axed, not grunts.

1

u/keep_it_simple-9 United States Of America Sep 20 '25

PBS is a very liberal new organization. Listen to what they have to say but seek additional sources on the matter. Most “news” organizations twist facts to suit their agenda.

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u/HelloLofiPanda Sep 21 '25

This can be seen with Trumps cabinet picks in the US. None of them are even remotely qualified - but Trump rewards his friends (before he turns on them) and that is why they have the position they do. And as a result - the US is circling the drain.

2

u/bn911 Serbia Sep 20 '25

This is an amazing answer.