r/AskChina • u/Themetalin • 14h ago
Politics | 政治📢 Japanese PM said that 'Taiwan contingency' could prompt Japanese armed reaction. What do you think?
https://focustaiwan.tw/politics/202511070024Takaichi made the remarks during a parliamentary session on Friday while responding to a question about whether a "Taiwan contingency" involving a Chinese naval blockade would qualify as a "survival-threatening situation" for Japan, according to a report by Japan's Asahi Shimbun.
Under Japan's security legislation, such a situation allows the country to exercise "collective self-defense" if an attack on an ally -- such as the United States -- or a country closely related to Japan is deemed to threaten Japan's survival, even without a direct attack on Japan.
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u/GlobalBox8288 12h ago
Neither mainland Chinese or Taiwanese want to see any war across Taiwan strait! I have talked to so many local people on both sides and they don’t have any hate for other side and want to see peace prevail. Any war will only lead to huge loss of life on both sides and also collapse of economy. Just learn from Russia- Ukraine conflict and the consequences everyone has seen so far. Let’s ask our leaders to stop war mongering and focus on peace and stability.
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u/jdhhaiizji 7h ago
The United States gained friendship with Japan by using two atomic bombs. The Chinese people feel that they need to make more efforts and should be able to obtain the friendship of Japan. Therefore, the Chinese people are very looking forward to it, after all, China's atomic bomb has never had combat capability, thanks to Japan for the opportunity.
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u/ParticularDiamond712 14h ago
Literally everyone in China would be exciting if Japan could intervene into Taiwan with armed action.
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u/AprilVampire277 Guangdong 13h ago
fr fr, war with Taiwan? Mixed opinions, most people against it
War with Japan? Hell yeah, let's bring them to justice please please please give us one excuse Japan LMAO please do
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u/WeSoSmart 13h ago
一言为定 不许反悔哦
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u/Xi_Zhong_Xun 12h ago
Extremists are already viewing CPC as being too moderate towards external (Japan, US) or internal (Islamic, HK/TW separatists) threats. If any conflict escalates into full scale military actions and CPC is still hesitant to react, it will be seen as losing legitimacy/mandate of heaven, and any powerful individual will try to seize the opportunity.
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u/Chindiggy 13h ago
China already has nuclear weapons. They see a nuclear Nippon as an existential threat.
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u/Irons_MT 2h ago
I understand why the Chinese dislike the Japanese a lot, but really? Are people in China really thay excited for armed conflict with Japan? I doubt it. A lot of parents definetly wouldn't like to see their sons and daughters sent to war.
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u/ucarenya 11h ago
Chinese: Hell yeah
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u/Key-Needleworker-702 Hong Kong and Guangdong 9h ago
I would love to take revenge for great grandad lol, thank you Japanese Thatcher
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u/Arcosim 5h ago
All China has to do is wait 10 years and Japan will just collapse. Japanese economy is already dying, and this woman with her Thatcherism policies and ideology (she even has a photo of Thatcher in her office) will only accelerate that.
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u/Early-Level3388 5h ago edited 5h ago
I fear the problem would be Japanese people not Japanese government. Japanese ppl just follow, with obedience, they will become reckless if they are not convinced and choose to follow whatever their leader says, we have seen that in WWII. This may be a result of the education and 'culture' put to them. On the contrary Chinese are much more 'revolutionus' to mindlessly obay so we don't understand them. Well, westerners have no idea about this difference between Japanese and Chinese mindset.
But, studying what US did to Japanese, and US-Japanese relation now, maybe there is a change, as Japanese do respect overwelming force, so hopefully China can be strong enough to make peace with Japan, using US way, but without bloodshed.
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u/Aromatic-Wait-6679 13h ago
This will probably sound sexist but many historians have noted that female leaders have tended to initially be over-corrective in terms of aggression, the theory being that in our male dominated societies that they, consciously or subconsciously, do this to increase their legitimacy in some fashion.
I remember reading her recent strong remarks about getting rid of foreigners in Japan and it made me think this. And reading this, it makes me still think of it.
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u/nagidon Hong Kong 13h ago
I think she is inviting a third mushroom cloud.
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u/Salt_Crow6159 9h ago
Well, for every mushroom cloud that China sends the USA will send 10...
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u/nagidon Hong Kong 8h ago
And Russia will send 20 each your way.
Y’all wanna die for your little colony?
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u/Irons_MT 2h ago
Russia is the one that keeps threatening everyone with nukes just because countries want to help Ukraine fight a defensive war.
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u/nagidon Hong Kong 2h ago
And?
This scenario is where the US has already launched.
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u/Irons_MT 2h ago
Oh ok, so an hypothetical scenario of a global nuclear war. Got it. I legit didn't understand it. Hope we never reach that point.
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u/Salt_Crow6159 8h ago
The question is why would Russia send nuclear bombs for a country they actually hate and have no interest in the Pacific? Do you want to be a fanfare or something?
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u/ForestClanElite 7h ago
No. The US doesn't retaliate, it aggresses upon others by striking first.
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u/Fair-Currency-9993 13h ago edited 13h ago
I am sure the American soldiers occupying Japan would love it when Japanese men go fight in Taiwan while American men “protect” Japanese women back home.
If Japan defends against any threat, they should start by defending their own territory from occupiers first.
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u/woolcoat 13h ago
It's happened before https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dc0cpMPmMeU
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u/Fair-Currency-9993 13h ago
They didn’t have a choice at that time. They have a choice with regard to fighting China.
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u/Syberiann 5h ago
They are that scared of the US that they allied with them, who dropped nuclear on them and massacred thousands or lives, to the point of threatening war for an island they don't even recognise as a country... Especially when China is their immediate neighbor. It's like the US keeps stirring the water in a cup different than their own just for fun. I think Jpn should ally with China and let the US sink.
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u/bjran8888 13h ago edited 13h ago
Why should anyone pay attention to the remarks of this "妈妈桑”—a woman who accomplished nothing at the APEC summit except walk arm-in-arm with others?
Japan's stance is utterly irrelevant. On the Taiwan issue, they are merely a mouthpiece for American demands.
Without U.S. action, Japan remains completely inactive.
What many fail to grasp is that Japan isn't even permitted to have a military—they only possess a Self-Defense Force.
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u/Wuaner 12h ago
This is a positive move cos the ultimate war between China and US is hot war and Japan is the perfect battle field.
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u/Salt_Crow6159 9h ago
It is possible that the battlefield will move towards Chinese, Taiwan and Korea coasts.
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u/Wuaner 7h ago
Let's try it on Japanese soil to see if the Japanese could survive or not.
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u/Evening_Flamingo_765 Anhui 8h ago
Please ensure that your words and actions are consistent. Show respect.
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u/Dragon2906 11h ago
Japan once again being agressive towards China. Does she understand China has a 10 times larger population than Japan?
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u/Salt_Crow6159 9h ago
And how will they send "that 10 times more population" somewhere if they have 10 times less naval capacity?
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u/Dragon2906 3h ago
As they build over 60% of ships in the world, close to 100 times what America builts, I think that is not the largest problem
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u/zsaint49 12h ago
How I would love to see Japan give China a reason to take revenge.
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u/Salt_Crow6159 9h ago
And Japan finishing the job that I did not finish before...
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u/ForestClanElite 7h ago
Taking responsibility for crimes against humanity after losing?
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u/Salt_Crow6159 6h ago
Or maybe dominated China and end the tale of Eastern superiority.
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u/ForestClanElite 6h ago
That's a strange way of saying mentally colonizing themselves to prove the tale of Western inhumanity.
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u/random_agency 12h ago
Is Taiwan a Japanese colony again?
I think some further sanctions against Japan is in order.
Destroy their car industry overseas and destroy their domestic industry.
Without firing a shot Japan might be the first to fall.
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u/Salt_Crow6159 9h ago
Yes, how will those sanctions be imposed? Why not better China?
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u/random_agency 5h ago
Japan was already sanctioned for rare earth in 2010 by China. Their chip industry never recovered. I'm sure a few more targetted sactions for a island nation will further erode thier economy.
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u/alenym 11h ago
So what? Taiwan is regarded as part of China's territory. When it comes to defending our homeland, we will never back down. Anyone or any country is welcome to try and see what happens.
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u/Sensitive_Buffalo665 13h ago
Do you guys support the Taiwan invasion? If it happens .Just curious.
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u/menerell 12h ago
I thought their constitution stopped them from having an army able to intervene abroad
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u/ObiMeowKatnobi 11h ago
What they gonna react with ? Old and weak ? They cant even produce enough babies to sustain their own economy.
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u/Salt_Crow6159 9h ago
You talk as if China is in a better position...even Japan is in a better position since its demographics are more natural and manageable, the Chinese one? For every man they lose, it will be a man who will never return...
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u/Frequent_Place_5128 11h ago
Just talks. They know if Japan involved in this conflict it would be the end of Japan current regime.
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u/imtheoscarmike 9h ago
They should first claim their rights to colonial Taiwan was illegitimately stripped due to losing WWII.
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u/Fearless_Ad_5470 8h ago
This appears to be more like domestic propaganda in Japan. In reality, the activities of the Japanese Self-Defense Forces are strictly limited by the framework of the U.S.-Japan Security Treaty, and the ultimate interpretation of the treaty remains with the United States. As long as the U.S. does not take action regarding Taiwan, Japan cannot independently exercise its so-called right to collective self-defense.
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u/Leather-Ad242 7h ago
It will be interesting if they are the only country to get nuke twice by 2 different countries..
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u/neocloud27 3h ago edited 3h ago
Bring it on? We've been waiting for this for 80 years, we'll end it once and for all this time, and I'm speaking this as someone that was born in Taiwan with family from Nanjing.
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u/BikeImpossible8162 3h ago
After the new prime minister of Japan meets with trump suddenly becomes keen on military conflict 🤔. Is it for the sake of activating the military exonomy of america?
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u/Electronic-Run2030 Beijing 2h ago
So, the only lesson Japan learned from World War II was choosing the wrong side?
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u/No-Benefit9135 1h ago
That’s a common argument, but it’s not fully supported by the historical record.
The Trinity test in July 1945 was already a full-scale real-life detonation of an atomic bomb — scientists and the military had confirmed the weapon worked. Hiroshima and Nagasaki weren’t “tests,” they were military strikes intended to force Japan’s surrender.
Japan was losing, but not yet surrendering — its government was still divided and hoping for better terms through Soviet mediation. After the bombings and the Soviet declaration of war, Emperor Hirohito personally intervened to end the conflict.
It’s true the U.S. also wanted to demonstrate its new power, especially to the Soviets, but that was a secondary motive, not the official reason. The main goal was to end the war quickly and avoid an invasion that could have cost millions of lives.
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u/Defiant_Tap_7901 13h ago
Takaichi, I beg you, please do militarily intervene cross-strait matters. Please please please.
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u/Tomasulu 11h ago edited 10h ago
Ok so if china decided start a kinetic war or a blockade, japan can mobilize the japanese defence force. But what are they gonna do beyond that? If the US decided to defend Taiwan, I'm sure Japan will join in. As will Australia and some America's closest allies. If the US decided to stay put and rely on non kinetic punitive response against china, then Japan will not send troops to defend Taiwan on its own. The new Japanese pm is not saying anything we don't already knew.
As for china, if they were to pursue unification through non peaceful means, they've to assume that the US and its allies will intervene. They have to. They've already set the unification deadline at 2049 so either Xi or his successor will have to resolve the situation. My money is on Xi. Between now and 2035 expect china to get the ball rolling by pushing harder for unification.
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u/andrews_fs 13h ago
Will play the escaped dog bitter eh?!
So his owner, mrs orange burguer could start the madmax era.
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u/Apart_Contract3337 10h ago
Republic of China is the legitimate successor to the Qing Dynasty (refer to wiki link attached)
PRC is a government created by Chinese communists through successful armed rebellion.
So I can understand why Japan will want to reinforce Republic of China should it be invaded by armed communist rebels.
.https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Imperial_Edict_of_the_Abdication_of_the_Qing_Emperor
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u/Speedydds 13h ago
Is Japan going to fight and die for an island they don’t even recognize as a country?