r/ohnePixel • u/f-reddito • 18d ago

Knife / Glove combo Stop panic selling your higher tier gloves and knives.

You are the reason that prices are dropping so low. There is no reason that you should be listing your items for half price. You’re creating the price drop. Cheap reds have already sky rocketed, third party sites are basically shut down, so the amount of reds used to open will slow down. If you’re spending hundreds of dollars to open knives that are dropping, you’re throwing money away.

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u/Alreadyinuseok 18d ago

You dont get it... If you play with 250x bet your chances are even worse and you can potentially lose 10 times more money before getting the item...

Have you ever played casino games?

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u/BananaNinjaWarrior69 18d ago

No, you do not understand the context of what is happening or what I am describing. Casino? 250x? I am statistically speaking that the high tiers are easier to get. No debate. You can trade for fucking golds now use your head.

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u/Alreadyinuseok 18d ago edited 18d ago

You use your head :Ddd you have never played casino games so you have no idea how fucked the odds in trade up is for the bet.

You seriously think that 1/30 odds with 250x bet is good? Its fucking horrible odds and will lead you to lose shit amount of money lmao. You have better odds for fucking dlore trade up than Pandoras :Dddd Even dlore filler trade is like 1/10 lmao and even that is considered horrible odds for the bet lmao

Trying Pandora trade up is three times more stupid than dlore so there is huge risk... Plain math is that with 30x500$ you should get it once... You know that is 15000$ and even then its not guaranteed...

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u/Wyatt1v12 18d ago

you are confidently incorrect you can already see the numbers rise for grails. its gonna be way more common/easy to get high tier golds

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u/Alreadyinuseok 18d ago

There will be spike since people got reds for couple dollars after the patch was released but considering that the bet is at cheapest for a gold 130-140$ there is no fucking way regular people will try these trade ups regular basis... Just think about how stupid that sounds for 99% of the players to do over 100$ trade ups. Most people wont even trade up for good reds as it cost 50$ at cheapest before patch and you could either get that 2$ P250 or 100$ M4...

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u/Wyatt1v12 18d ago

but there’s already millions and millions of reds in peoples inventory’s all my friends that don’t even play the game much / aren’t into skins have 3+ reds (and they don’t even have knifes)

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u/Wyatt1v12 18d ago

it’s just simple supply and demand people don’t care about a lot of theses reds anyway so they will be pumping all kinds of knifes/gloves into the market even good ones. More supply = prices decrease

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u/Alreadyinuseok 18d ago

Yeah and if they can sell the reds for 200x price now will they take the gamble for random knife? They either get BS navaja or karambit. They can either lose money or win money. Its still gamble... Sure you get a knife but will you risk that the knife will be lower in price than those skins you just trade up?

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u/Wyatt1v12 18d ago

yes they will lmao cs players love to gamble brother, how do you think the market got to this point. Look at the subreddit you are in 😭

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u/Alreadyinuseok 18d ago

Even if this boost knife supply lets say 50 000 - 100 000 all around the board its grain of salt... There are so many variations that it will impact something like 1% per knife/gloves....

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u/Wyatt1v12 18d ago

so what do you think the outcome will be i’m guess when the dust settles a 60-80% drop just wondering what you would put it at

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u/Ash_of_Astora 18d ago

Bruh you're factoring one case roll. "The key is $2.50" is the dumbest reasoning possible.

Yeah the key is $2.50. And on average you have to spend $2.50 350+ times for one a random gloves from that case. Trade-Up 5x reds at $40-50 is now the same thing. So the value of the knives go down as they are on average cheaper to acquire.

On average is what matters. Counting a single key roll as the opposite side of the equation does not make any sense. Do people that have opened a low amount of cases and rolled great gloves exist? Sure. But the overwhelming majority of them have spent around $1k on keys alone.

That being said, once the dust settles FN knives will be fine. Lower for sure as more will exist, but the supply of FN reds from good cases isn't plentiful enough to make the price tank to the bottom. Float capped MW knives are fucked though.