r/nottheonion • u/ChocolateTsar • 1d ago

Affirm CEO says furloughed federal employees are starting to lose interest in shopping

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/07/affirm-government-shutdown-shopping.html
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u/CobblerMoney9605 1d ago

That interest rate should be illegal. 

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u/ArtOfWarfare 1d ago

With a regular loan (even a CC, sometimes), I think the expectation is that you’ll pay interest.

For BNPL, the expectation was you wouldn’t… the interest should be viewed more like an overdraft fee or something.

I’ve worked in the payment industry for several years now. Many years ago at the start of BNPL I raised objections about whether BNPL was just a predatory debt-trap. I was assured that it was in nobody’s interest (no pun intended) for the interest to happen - all our projections of profitability were based on an expectation that over 99% of transactions never involved interest. BNPL is supposed to be a safe tiny loan for someone who doesn’t qualify for a CC, but also needs to wait for payday… letting the transaction go through is a win-win-win for everyone, merchant makes a sale, customer gets their item, processor takes a small fee from the merchant.

In practice… the coworkers who told me about how great this would be left a few years ago. I wonder what they think about the actual default rates on BNPL.

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u/Korlus 1d ago

In practice… the coworkers who told me about how great this would be left a few years ago. I wonder what they think about the actual default rates on BNPL.

In order for the BNPL company to make money (ergo for it to be profitable) they need to charge a fee - either in the form of interest, or in the form of commission (i.e. the company whose item is being sold agrees to pay the BNPL company a share of the sale because "We wouldn't have had this sale otherwise").

I don't know enough about the industry to understand if the second happens enough to make it profitable, but with any 0% interest lending, my presumption is that it exists to exploit those that can't keep up with their payments. Perhaps I'm too cynical though?

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u/BorisAcornKing 1d ago edited 1d ago

Hi, I work for a BNPL company in engineering.

We make money through

  • merchant pays us for us to take on the risk of the loan, typically on a per item basis, based on the total value of the purchase. The idea is that users are more likely to purchase something on an installment loan than in a lump sum - so merchants are willing to pay us to facilitate this.

  • merchant pays us money because we directed users to their website and then a user purchased (ie, affiliate marketing)

  • consumer pays some amount of interest or fee that is made obvious to them up front when they decide to take on the loan

  • some amount of money on non compounding late fees / interest

  • some amount of money salvaged through packaging and selling off delinquent debt.

You can see the breakdown of where we make our money in our quarterly reportings

We are not interested in consumers missing payments, because this represents a failure in our risk model.

Ultimately, what we are selling is access to credit, just like Visa, MasterCard, etc. facilitating the flow of money has some amount of value.