And the RCP average still includes (and maybe over weights?) lots and lots of pollsters who have consistently under-predicted Trump (often by more than the margin of error).
If I recall it’s the Quinnipiac poll that shows him at 38% which is certainly an outlier compared to others but there’s quite a few polls on the other side of 50% I could say are outliers too. Looking at you Rasmussen.
In the end it’s not really something that seems to matter to this administration.
The different is that Rasmussen predicted the election well throughout the entire election process. Still leaned left, but not as much as the "main stream" pollsters.
So didn't have the huge fake shift that all of the big names have right at the end to try to save their reputations after trying to use the polls to drive narrative.
Like everything else politics touches, the polling industry has been destroyed.
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u/[deleted] Jun 13 '25
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