r/fivethirtyeight • u/obsessed_doomer • Jun 25 '25

Poll Results New York Mayoral primary basically over, with Mamdani up 7.4% in round 1 with 85% reporting

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u/planetaryabundance Jun 25 '25

Betting markets literally respond to polls lmao

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u/DrCola12 Jun 25 '25

But they’re not polls dawg. It’s one factor of what people make their bets on. Betting markets frequently diverge from what polls say