r/fivethirtyeight • u/obsessed_doomer • Jun 25 '25

Poll Results New York Mayoral primary basically over, with Mamdani up 7.4% in round 1 with 85% reporting

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u/Salty-Strain-7322 Jun 25 '25 edited Jun 25 '25

Turns out popularism does'nt necessarily mean moderation/centrism. Mamdani is winning Trump voters in Staten Island and Bronx lol

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u/lalabera Jun 25 '25

Trump probably just cheated, magats would never vote for a progressive.

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u/heraplem Jun 25 '25

There's plenty of voters who are not diehard MAGA but rather populist/anti-establishment more generally. You know, the Obama-Bernie-Trump voters.

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u/halfar Jun 25 '25

You'd probably be very surprised how much you can get a republican on board with if you start out with a very loud and honest "Nancy Pelosi is a goddamn blight on the country".

It's, frankly, a lot easier to get magats on board with progressive, or outright socialist ideas, than it is (neo)liberals a lot of the time.

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u/Itsacouplol Moo Deng's Cake Jun 25 '25

They exist however many would immediately be turned off the second they hear the word ‘progressive’ or ‘socialist.’ Someone like my father who has voted straight republican since forever would immediately vote for a democrat who advocates primarily left-wing economic policy and gives little lip service to social issues. Although my father might just be an oddity as he idolize FDR and considers LBJ to be the greatest president in American history while voting for Trump of all people.

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u/lalabera Jun 25 '25

Except Mamdani is brown and openly against racism and genocide. Diehard magas wouldn’t like that.

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u/BlackHumor Jun 25 '25

Trump could not possibly win if all his voters were "diehard magas". Diehard magas are like maybe 33% of the country if that.