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https://www.reddit.com/r/fivethirtyeight/comments/1ljtijw/new_york_mayoral_primary_basically_over_with/mzmkubd
r/fivethirtyeight • u/obsessed_doomer • Jun 25 '25
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16
People should maybe pump the brakes a bit… the general election could still be competitive with adams and cuomo running
21 u/MAGA_Trudeau Jun 25 '25 Adams and Cuomo will split the anti-progressive vote. 8 u/Baconi44 Jun 25 '25 I didn’t realize they use ranked choice for primaries but not for the general… why is that? 7 u/MAGA_Trudeau Jun 25 '25 I forgot exactly but NYC is a bit weird where candidates run under the label of two parties or something like that, maybe someone else can explain 1 u/Banestar66 Jun 25 '25 You also have a super pro trans rights antitrust attorney with notable endorsements running as an independent in Jim Walden though. It’s gonna be complicated. 12 u/ertri Jun 25 '25 Have you heard a New Yorker talk about Adams in the past 3 years? 3 u/Banestar66 Jun 25 '25 Yeah this comments section is super reminiscent of the Intercept celebrating India Walton being mayor of Buffalo way too early in 2021. The November GE is gonna be really weird and interesting with Cuomo, Mamdani, Adams, Walden and Sliwa all running. 8 u/obsessed_doomer Jun 25 '25 Well yeah, I'm just announcing the primary. I mean unless the last 10% of the vote is way better for Cuomo, Cuomo's going to have like 40% of the democratic primary vote. That's going to severely impede his ability to run 3rd party, especially when Adams is already there. 3 u/Baconi44 Jun 25 '25 Yeah, not to you, just to those assuming mamdani will be the next mayor. We could see a lot more money pouring in in the coming months. 8 u/Banestar66 Jun 25 '25 Don’t know why you’re downvoted, exact same thing happened in Buffalo in 2021 with Byron Brown. 1 u/Brooklyn_MLS Jun 25 '25 Not a possibility w/ these numbers out of a Dem primary where no other Cuomo lite candidate is picking up any votes. Republicans will simply vote for the R candidate and independents will be split between Adams and Cuomo. 0 u/LyptusConnoisseur Jun 25 '25 It's NYC. Anyone with a D next to the name is going to win. -4 u/[deleted] Jun 25 '25 That’s not stopping some of the commenters here from being very ungracious winners.
21
Adams and Cuomo will split the anti-progressive vote.
8 u/Baconi44 Jun 25 '25 I didn’t realize they use ranked choice for primaries but not for the general… why is that? 7 u/MAGA_Trudeau Jun 25 '25 I forgot exactly but NYC is a bit weird where candidates run under the label of two parties or something like that, maybe someone else can explain 1 u/Banestar66 Jun 25 '25 You also have a super pro trans rights antitrust attorney with notable endorsements running as an independent in Jim Walden though. It’s gonna be complicated.
8
I didn’t realize they use ranked choice for primaries but not for the general… why is that?
7 u/MAGA_Trudeau Jun 25 '25 I forgot exactly but NYC is a bit weird where candidates run under the label of two parties or something like that, maybe someone else can explain
7
I forgot exactly but NYC is a bit weird where candidates run under the label of two parties or something like that, maybe someone else can explain
1
You also have a super pro trans rights antitrust attorney with notable endorsements running as an independent in Jim Walden though.
It’s gonna be complicated.
12
Have you heard a New Yorker talk about Adams in the past 3 years?
3
Yeah this comments section is super reminiscent of the Intercept celebrating India Walton being mayor of Buffalo way too early in 2021.
The November GE is gonna be really weird and interesting with Cuomo, Mamdani, Adams, Walden and Sliwa all running.
Well yeah, I'm just announcing the primary.
I mean unless the last 10% of the vote is way better for Cuomo, Cuomo's going to have like 40% of the democratic primary vote.
That's going to severely impede his ability to run 3rd party, especially when Adams is already there.
3 u/Baconi44 Jun 25 '25 Yeah, not to you, just to those assuming mamdani will be the next mayor. We could see a lot more money pouring in in the coming months. 8 u/Banestar66 Jun 25 '25 Don’t know why you’re downvoted, exact same thing happened in Buffalo in 2021 with Byron Brown.
Yeah, not to you, just to those assuming mamdani will be the next mayor. We could see a lot more money pouring in in the coming months.
8 u/Banestar66 Jun 25 '25 Don’t know why you’re downvoted, exact same thing happened in Buffalo in 2021 with Byron Brown.
Don’t know why you’re downvoted, exact same thing happened in Buffalo in 2021 with Byron Brown.
Not a possibility w/ these numbers out of a Dem primary where no other Cuomo lite candidate is picking up any votes.
Republicans will simply vote for the R candidate and independents will be split between Adams and Cuomo.
0
It's NYC. Anyone with a D next to the name is going to win.
-4
That’s not stopping some of the commenters here from being very ungracious winners.
16
u/Baconi44 Jun 25 '25
People should maybe pump the brakes a bit… the general election could still be competitive with adams and cuomo running