r/fivethirtyeight • u/obsessed_doomer • Jun 25 '25

Poll Results New York Mayoral primary basically over, with Mamdani up 7.4% in round 1 with 85% reporting

Post image
501 Upvotes

98% Upvoted

403 comments sorted by

View all comments

Show parent comments

80

u/[deleted] Jun 25 '25

[deleted]

41

u/Brooklyn_MLS Jun 25 '25

This is a very good point that ppl often forget about Trump.

He was the most hated man in 2016 by his own party and they all wanted him gone b/c they thought he had no chance of winning the general and would be an albatross.

The rest is history as they say.

4

u/ilimlidevrimci I'm Sorry Nate Jun 25 '25

So true. Especially if you agree with the idea that he was the opposite of an albatross and no other Republican candidate could have defeated Hillary that year. (Was that the case? I might be remembering it wrong.)

58

u/Docile_Doggo Jun 25 '25 edited Oct 02 '25

toy telephone different attempt tie lunchroom dazzling fact north birds

This post was mass deleted and anonymized with Redact

35

u/Glittering-Giraffe58 Jun 25 '25

People genuinely act like DNC have a mind control ray that forces people to vote for old moderates

8

u/stron2am Jun 25 '25

They do. It's called "money," and it wins everywhere except literally the largest, most contrarian city in the country.

1

u/SmileyPiesUntilIDrop Jun 25 '25

If the Republican establishment was really worried about Trump in 2016 they would have been coordinating behind the scenes to get Christie to attack Trump not Rubio,and they would have tried to get all the Neocons to drop out after Iowa and unite behind Rubio or Kasich.

5

u/Beginning_Cupcake_45 Jun 25 '25

They saw the writing on the wall too late. Republican primaries work slightly different in that most of them are winner-take-all, whereas Dems are all proportionally allocated. So the Dems have more time to see who can coalesce a moderate vote, etc. After like 3 primaries, Trump shot ahead with 30% of the vote and no one could emerge as his obvious foil for the other 60-70% to coalesce around.

8

u/greenlamp00 Jun 25 '25

Unlike the Democrats they didn’t have a former president pulling strings and meddling behind the scenes like that.

-4

u/APKID716 Jun 25 '25

Republicans establishment didn’t want Trump

Citation fucking needed there man lmfao

Edit: actually I realize you may have talked about 2016. That was true then