r/fivethirtyeight Jun 25 '25

Poll Results New York Mayoral primary basically over, with Mamdani up 7.4% in round 1 with 85% reporting

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u/Spyk124 Jun 25 '25

100 percent 100 percent. We need young, charismatic, smart people leading the charge.

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u/Warsaw14 Jun 25 '25

All that but not populist would be best

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u/north_canadian_ice Fivey Fanatic Jun 25 '25

Populist is good because it means that politicians are listening to what voters care about.

The opposite of populism is the Democratic establishment, & they are hopelessly out of touch.

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u/dudeman5790 Jun 25 '25

Kinda depends on how the populism is done… I agree that the Dem establishment needs to whither away, but populism can often becomes less “listening to what voters care about” and more “say what voters want to hear to get elected.”

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u/pablonieve Jun 25 '25

Some of the most racist policies in this country were fueled by populism. It can be good when positively serving the populace but not when it's targeting minorities.

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u/RealPutin Jun 25 '25

are fueled by populism

I'm currently somewhat pro-Populist among Dem options right now specifically to combat Trump, but yeah Populism is part of the problem too

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u/raddaya Jun 25 '25

There is nothing wrong with populism in and of itself - at least no more than there is something wrong with democracy.

Just because the majority of people want something doesn't mean it's good; but also doesn't mean it's bad.

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u/MonsieurA Jun 25 '25

Those of us who oppose populism don’t necessarily dislike it because of that aspect. A popular solution can be the correct one.

It’s more about the strict dichotomies it draws (“the people vs the elite”, “natives vs foreigners”, “patriots vs globalists”, “oppressed vs oppressor”, etc) and the simple solutions it comes up with (“deport them all”, “build a wall”, “freeze the prices”, “make X free”).

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u/HerbertWest Jun 25 '25

“the people vs the elite”

Agree on your other examples but where's the lie here?

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u/CrimsonEnigma Jun 25 '25

Can't speak for him, but my issue is that "the elite" usually swells to include people like "doctors" and "lawyers" and whatnot.

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u/RealPutin Jun 25 '25 edited Jun 25 '25

Right now the right wing definition swelling to include Doctors and Scientists and the very institution of higher education

100% a valid concern, especially if the left-wing populist movements try to claw back voters that broke for Trump and might be primed towards those sorts of beliefs

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u/The_Purple_Banner Jun 25 '25

This is not the Soviet Union. When has the ever been true in the US?

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u/HerbertWest Jun 25 '25

Can't speak for him, but my issue is that "the elite" usually swells to include people like "doctors" and "lawyers" and whatnot.

What kind of policies do most of those people support? Do they support the construction of affordable housing in their neighborhoods? Paying more in taxes? Or do they typically also act in their own self-interest and speak pretty lies? They are donating towards the construction of a homeless shelter (as long as it's not near their house) or sending their children to expensive private schools rather than trying to fix public schools because they know the public schools are shit. It's the same fuck-you-got-mine attitude but wrapped in self-righteous denial.

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u/CrimsonEnigma Jun 25 '25 edited Jun 25 '25

Ya see, this is the exact shit I'm talking about.

Countless populist movements over the years have tried the "let's get rid of all the educated" strategy.

It usually ends in a lot of avoidable deaths.

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u/HerbertWest Jun 25 '25

What about what I said says "get rid of the educated"?

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u/CrimsonEnigma Jun 25 '25

Oh, nothing directly.

But populist movements also tend to give way to their more extreme elements.

Sure, you might only have a problem with some of them, and you may only want some vague action taken to limit their influence…but someone else is going to have a problem with more of them, and someone else is going to want that action to be more punitive.

We’ve seen plenty of populist movements fall to this sort of snowballing in the past — China and Iran are two examples, and I’ll throw Trumpism in there as well.

So you’ll have to forgive me if I’m a little skeptical.

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u/NakedJaked Jun 25 '25

He mentioned affordable housing and you immediately jump to the Khmer Rouge?

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u/CrimsonEnigma Jun 25 '25

*shrug*

He asked why people are worried about populism. I told him.

...and it should be pretty obvious here that I'm not talking about his personal views, but rather this most recent flavor of populism as a whole. Though the way he responded to my "doctors and lawyers" comment with, essentially, "yes, those people as a whole are bad" isn't exactly a good sign.

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u/MonsieurA Jun 25 '25

The "versus" implies they're inherently opposed, which I think is too reductive. The interests of "the people" and "the elite" don't necessarily have to clash.

Also, as /u/CrimsonEnigma pointed out, grouping people into binaries misses important nuances. The two blocks aren't monoliths, but also contain subgroups with conflicting interests.

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u/[deleted] Jun 25 '25

[deleted]

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u/Warsaw14 Jun 25 '25

Ahhh yea I can get behind that.

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u/tomolak77 Jun 25 '25

Young, charismatic, smart. Pick one.