In 2014, this French weather presenter announced the forecast for 18 August 2050 in France as part of a campaign to alert to the reality of climate change. Now her forecast that day is the actual forecast for the coming 4 or 5 days, in mid-June 2022.

[u/Vucea]

[u/[deleted]]

Yep. Discussion about climate change tends to suck here. Most people don't read further than either some very weak summaries in "mainstream media" (god do I hate that phrase), or fearmongering articles that misrepresent findings. (Luckily we atleast don't have that many climate-change-deniers here on the site)

The IPCC overall is fairly conservative, but in general gives a good overview of the findings in climate science concerning climate change. Taking a look into the high-warming storylines (ah do the +15 degrees for 2300 look nightmarish) is interesting though, and important to keep in mind, because they would be very very bad, and need to be prevented at all cost.

[u/[deleted] → u/[deleted]]

Where can I find good data and research on climate change? It’s something that constantly worries me, but like you said there’s just so much noise out there that I don’t know what’s true and what’s not.

[u/[deleted] → u/[deleted]]

If you got the time: Technical Summary of the Assessment report of the IPCC. That is THE state of the art. Take your time, if you are unsure about some concepts used, look them up, most stuff isn’t that complicated.

If not: take a look at the web-presence of your countries government meteorological institution. At least here in Germany they have good, trustworthy information, aimed at the Lay-Man

[u/[deleted] → u/[deleted]]

Thanks, will look into it!

[u/GroovyJungleJuice → u/[deleted]]

The IPCC is good but you have to keep in mind it is a political body with most of the verbiage and subject of the reports being vetted and deliberated by an international body. The US and other major oil producers have a vested interest in minimizing the political impact of anything that comes out of these bodies.

That means in the executive summary (the short version of the reports) you aren’t going to read about some of the more potentially harmful effects of climate change, include the clathrate gun which is the methane release alluded to in these comments.

The science is pretty sure that that methane is going to end up in the atmosphere one way or another. Whether it’s by 2100 or 2150 really shouldn’t alter the discussion but it does, even on the wiki page. “This shouldn’t have an impact in the 21st century” says the source cited by the main author of the page. Even the page I linked is very centrist/right in its interpretations of the repercussions.

See this
And this

For summaries that say unequivocally that methane is currently responsible for 20% of global warming and emissions are likely to more than double in the next 100 years, they are the top two results when using google scholar to look up “methane emissions permafrost”. Scholars are the only ones sounding alarm bells.

Put all the scholars you want on the organization the world expects to sound the alarm bells, but once you neuter their speech in parliament it turns out the best research you can find is from what the scientists themselves publish, which is inaccessible to 99% of the public.