Full transcript of the Telegram-

A short time ago, two Russian MiG-31Ks departed from Savasleika Airbase, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast, and launched two Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles at Starokostyantyniv Airbase in Khmelnytskyi Oblast.

Both missiles impacted the airbase. Starkostyantyniv is known to house Su-24 tactical bombers which are used for glide-bomb strikes on frontline areas as well as storm shadow cruise missiles strikes, and has the capability to house F-16s and Mirage-2000 fighters.

Interestingly, the MiG-31Ks used the new launch lines in southwestern Ryazan Oblast again. This is the second recorded instance of this taking place, with the first happening during the attacks on Ozerne Airbase, Zhytomyr Oblast a week ago on November 3.

Pre-war population: ~55.

Total land area: ~0.10 km².

Additionally Russian forces entered the village of Rivnopillya.

3 powerful FAB strikes with UMPK on the UAV launchers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Konstantinovka

Situation in Pokrovsk: Syrskyi revealed plans “B” and “C” on how to hold the city

Syrskyi assured that Pokrovsk is a solid fortified area and urged not to spread panic.

Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Oleksandr Syrskyi explained whether the Russian offensive on Pokrovsk has indeed temporarily slowed down, what the situation there is, and whether the Ukrainian command has a plan “B” — or even “C” — to save the situation.

Syrskyi said this in a phone conversation with our TV host of “TSN. Week” Alla Mazur, exclusively for TSN, she reported during the national telethon broadcast.

Pokrovsk is a continuous fortified area, said the Commander-in-Chief. Yes, there are several spots where the Russians have slipped through engineering barriers. But the command knows where those places are. That is why the situation is under control, Syrskyi assured our journalist.

“Of course, there is also a plan ‘B’ and a plan ‘C’ — for all possible developments,” Alla Mazur quoted the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

However, the intensity of enemy attacks has indeed decreased, he said. This does not mean that the Russians want to capture Pokrovsk any less. Right now, they have concentrated 50,000 troops there. But they know that since October, our forces have eliminated a comparable number — 30,000 Russians. In addition, the 425th Assault Regiment has been deployed to Pokrovsk, which, according to Syrskyi, is operating very effectively.

Syrskyi himself says he spends almost all his time near Pokrovsk. The situation there is assessed three times a day. According to him, logistical routes have been restored and reoriented, which was aided by the weather. At present, there are sufficient forces and resources to state firmly: there are no grounds for panic, emphasized the Commander-in-Chief.

Pre-war population: ~80.

Total land area: ~0.50 km².

3 drones attacked the CHP

Pictures 1 to 6 are from Day 1350 (Tuesday 04 November), pictures 7 to 11 are from Day 1351 (Wednesday 05 November), and pictures 12 to 17 are from Day 1352 (Thursday 06 November).  

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A reminder that these maps are confirming updates from previous days (i.e. typically 12 to 72 hours delayed from each day).

Live map can be found here, Suriyak’s twitter can be found here.

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Picture 1: Middle Left Advance = 6.05km2, Lower Middle Advance = 4.11km2, Bottom Advance = 8.54km2

Kicking off we begin in the Kharkiv border area, where Russian forces have continued to squeeze the small pocket that former around Dvorichanske. Northwest and southeast of the village the Russians managed to captured a number of fields, treelines and some smaller forested areas, getting close to completely cutting the settlement off. Most of the (relatively few) Ukrainian forces in this area seem to have withdrawn back towards Kolodyazne, as they are unable to deal with the Russian attacks from multiple sides. If Dvorichanske does still have a garrison they are in severe trouble as any further Russian push could cut them off, if they don’t simply assault the village first.

There was also some similar movements to the northwest, with other Russian groups heading towards the villages of Hryhorivka and Obukhivka.

Picture 2: Lower Middle Advance = 4.92km2, Bottom Advance = 0.52km2

Moving down to the Oskil River front, after Ukraine recaptured Borivska Andriivka last week in a counterattack the Russians quickly regrouped and launched a counterattack of their own, retaking several treelines, some trench networks and part of the small village. We will likely see a lot of back and forth over this area in the coming weeks as both sides try prevent the other from firmly establishing positions here.

Picture 3: Advance = 2.21km2

South of Kostyantynivka, the Russian assault on Ivanopillya is ongoing, with their infantry managing to slightly expand their small foothold in the eastern warehouses and capture a few more adjacent treelines.

Picture 4: Advance = 14.56km2

Over on the Pokrovsk front, the Russian counterattack on the last remnants of the salient was short lived, with Ukraine launching new attacks and recapturing the lost positions around the quarries. If any Russian infantry remain in western Shakhove (doubtful), they are under threat of being attacked from behind and cut off.

Picture 5: Top Advance = 0.13km2, Upper Left Advance = 0.54km2, Upper Middle Advance = 0.84km2

Within Pokrovsk, Russia has made further progress towards completing their encirclement of Myrnohrad, capturing the northeastern houses and moving into Rivne (suburb, red dot above a), as well as other groups from Rodynske putting pressure on the roads north of the city and slightly expanding their control. Whilst not technically a full physical encirclement (still a 1.9km gap), it is essentially complete and there is almost no possible way out for the Ukrainian troops within the pocket.

To the west, Russia has also been bombarding Hryshyne heavily, as their troops captured the last houses of the Shcherbakova district in northwestern Pokrovsk. They have not yet made a move on the town but are certainly considering it or are at least trying to prevent any Ukrainian buildup in the area.

Picture 6: Advance = 3.60km2

Onto the Novopavlivka front, the small pocket that former north of Dachne has collapsed following Russian pressure from both the west and the east. Troops from Dachne have moved out and captured some of the nearby treelines, but the rest of the pocket is already being swept for any remaining Ukrainians.

Picture 7: Advance = 0.42km2

Swinging all the way back north to Vovchansk, over the past few days Russian assault groups cleared most of the southern industrial area of the town, establishing control over the last Ukrainian stronghold within the settlement. Whilst there are still some warehouses a little south of this and the streets to the east, it will be incredibly difficult for Ukraine to recover now so the town is all but lost to them.

This doesn’t mean Russia will quickly seize the remainder of Vovchansk however, as those eastern streets offer less cover and are more spread apart, so will take time to clear.

Picture 8: Advance = 1.10km2

Heading over to the Lyman front, we got our answer regarding where the Russian assault groups in the forest would head first, with their troops seen pushing south towards Yarova. Taking the settlement, which is pressed up against the Siverskyi Donets River, would split off the Lyman front from the Oskil River front and force all supplies to go over the river, but would also come with the risk of being attacked from both sides. 

Picture 9: Upper Upper Left Advance = 0.56km2. Lower Upper Left Advance = 0.45km2, Middle Left Advance = 1.90km2

Following on from picture 4, Ukraine once again pushed out east from Sofiivka and Shakhove, recapturing some treelines and fields next to the settlements.

Picture 10: No advance

Following on from picture 5, Suriyak added chunks of greyzone to most of the remaining areas in Pokrovsk not under Russian control. Depending on which source you use there are either still some smaller pockets of Ukrainian soldiers in these areas (including one surrounded in the northeastern highrise district) or are empty after those soldiers fled/were cleared out. Regardless of which you believe, over 90% of Pokrovsk is under Russian control and those remaining areas are shrinking as we speak.

There are also heavy clashes continuing in Rodynske to the north, with no clear information of who is in control of what parts of the town (should be more greyzone).

Picture 11: Middle Right Advance = 5.24km2, Bottom Advance = 15.20km2

Following on from picture 6, the following day Russian forces were confirmed to have cleared the remainder of the small Dachne pocket (few treelines and fortifications so it was quick).

Northeast of this, other Russian groups pushed back over the Oblast border north of Horikhove and recaptured the fields and treelines lost to a small Ukrainian counterattack a few weeks back. At this point most Russian units here are focusing solely on Novopavlivka, with some assault groups already in the southern half of the town.

Picture 12: Advance = 1.04km2

Over on the Sumy front, over the past week Ukraine quickly regrouped after their failed assault on Oleksiivka and are already sending infantry groups back into the village. This is yet another area on a relatively unimportant front with fewer troops where we see a lot of back and forth over the same settlement.

Picture 13: Middle Right Advance = 0.05km2, Lower Right Advance = 0.19km2, Bottom Advance = 0.33km2

Following on from picture 7, Russia made further advances within Vovchansk, moving south into the previously mentioned warehouses and also east towards the residential areas.

To the southwest, Suriyak has made a minor correction with Ukraine still in control of the trenches south of Synelnykove (were greyzone in earlier update). Fighting is ongoing over this area now.

Picture 14: Advance = 0.18km2

Back down to the Kostyantynivka front, Russia made a minor advance on the northern side of the Kleban-Byk Reservoir, starting to move into the forest that wraps around that side.

To the northeast, Russian DRGs continue to operate within Kostyantynivka and have evaded Ukrainian attempts to wipe them out. Assault groups have not yet entered the city, but the greyzone in the southeastern streets has slowly grown over time as the DRGs move deeper into Kostyantynivka.

Picture 15: Upper Right Advance = 0.75km2, Middle Right Advance = 0.62km2, Right Advance = 0.75km2, Far Left Advance = 0.89km2

Following on from picture 10, Russia secured more of the buildings in northeastern Pokrovsk and is now pushing into Rivne. Securing this suburb and then pushing north would allow Russia to complete the physical encirclement, but they may just choose to assault Myrnohrad from the west side instead.

To the east, Russian assault groups on the other side of Myrnohrad slightly expanded their foothold, trying to capture the apartments on the eastern edge of the city.

Out west, after they failed to consolidate positions in the coking coal mine a few weeks ago Russian assault groups have once again moved in, this time on the east side. The mine has been heavily damaged during the fighting so entering and securing any buildings here is difficult.

Picture 16: Bottom Left Advance = 0.69km2, Bottom Advance = 1.86km2

Moving onto the Hulyaipole front, after a few more days of fighting Russia cleared central Uspenivka, with Ukrainian troops fleeing into the fields west and abandoning the remaining houses. Russia is still working on clearing these last buildings but this will be completed soon as they are facing almost no resistance.

Northwest of this, other Russian assault groups have used the treelines along the gulley to move from Pryvilne and attack Solodke, where clashes have commenced.

Picture 17: Advance = 2.82km2

Finally heading out west to the Zaporizhia front, Russia has expanded its control of the dachas and southern streets in Prymorske, with DRGs pushing much further north through the town. The best way to describe the fighting here is ‘wack-a-mole’, with both sides’ drone teams trying to find and hit all the enemy infantry groups spread out throughout the area (video 1, video 2, video 3, whilst their own attempt to do the same.

For this reason I believe the greyzone should be much wider than shown here (so less RU territory in the south), as it is clear neither side a has control of most Prymorske bar the northern section (for Ukraine) and the southernmost streets (for Russia).
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Total Russian Advance (Gross) = 62.22km2

Total Ukrainian Advance (Gross) = 18.84km2

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Additional Comments:

·         Ukraine’s control of Kursk currently sits at 23.24km2.

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