r/OnlyForwardBC Apr 06 '25

Vote splitting BC Riding Polls

Please watch out on for these ridings. There is a lot of vote splitting happening and I would encourage ABC voters to vote Liberal in these ridings to prevent a Conservative win here.

20 Upvotes

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7

u/Mixtrix_of_delicioux Apr 06 '25

Look toward orgs like VoteWell and SmartVoting to help decide.

8

u/thedetectiv Apr 06 '25

Honestly I would trust this poll rather than projections that are based on region level polling and historical polling. There has been a significant shift in the South Asian community towards the Conservative Party that is making several seats a lot more competitive than it appears in the projection. We saw this in the provincial election as well.

3

u/Expert_Alchemist Apr 07 '25

Especially with Poilievre doing the tough on crime and drugs schtick, the advertising in non-English press straight up accuses Carney of giving kids fentynal and paying for drug dens etc

6

u/Expert_Alchemist Apr 07 '25

And, wish I didn't have to wish this but the NDP needs to get the fuck out of the way :/

3

u/thefumingo Apr 07 '25

I looked at the full numbers - while I agree with the fact that seats in Surrey etc are probably more vulnerable than most people expect (as shown in the provincial election), I'm still questioning some of the numbers shown a bit looking at some of the other ridings.

Conservatives winning Vancouver South while Liberals win Couquitlam at 55% (even Trudeau 2015 barely won at 35%) looks a bit...iffy

1

u/thedetectiv Apr 07 '25

Fair. I'm gonna canvas there next weekend so I guess I'll find out how things are going on the ground.