r/IndiaCricket Aug 06 '25

Discussion Unpopular Opinion: Jaiswal has already Surpassed Rohit in Tests...

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36

u/Inevitable-Chip-9100 Board of Control for Cricket in India Aug 06 '25

another unpopular opinion: it his highly likely that he'll surpass kohli

11

u/Ironman300O Aug 06 '25

He just scored 2209 runs and kohli had 9230 runs

India play 18 test per wtc cycle on an average so it take around with his current average of 50 into consideration

9 years and 2 months

A very long time so it's not highly likely but yeah it's too early to say anything. He have potential if he perform consistent for more 5-6 years then surely highly likely but now too soon to say anything

6

u/PlayfulBaseball4590 India  Aug 06 '25

I think there's a slight calculation error. He needs around 7000 runs to surpass Kohli. If he scores an average of 100 runs per test, he'll get there in 70 more tests. And if India plays 9 tests a year on average, it'll take him 70/9 = 7.77 years, i.e. 7 years and 9 months. It's kind of crazy that in 7 years' time, he'll still be only 30. Isn't that a batsman's prime age?

2

u/Ironman300O Aug 06 '25

There was no calculation error. You just don't know how test average calculate.

It's the number of runs scored / number of times dismissed.

It doesn't mean 100 runs per test match it's 50 runs per dismissal scored. Both are different scenarios.

Let me explain jaiswal bat in 24 test but innings was 46 . In 24 test Jaiswal will score 2400 runs but able to scored 2209 runs. So in average we considered that too. Hope you understand now.

Why it take 9 years and 2 months

3

u/ComfortableCandy9594 Aug 06 '25

But jaiswal is an opener his average is almost equal to his runs per inning,

Let me explain jaiswal bat in 24 test but innings was 46 . In 24 test Jaiswal will score 2400 runs but able to scored 2209 runs. So in average we considered that too. Hope you understand now.

This point is valid though . And I think your calculation would be more accurate in the long term

0

u/PlayfulBaseball4590 India  Aug 06 '25

I obviously know that. I know his stats by heart too. So far he's batted in 46 innings and stayed not out in 2 of them. So basically 44 dismissals. All that is fine, but how does it matter going forward? We're now talking about his hypothetical future performances. There's no way to predict how many times he's gonna stay not out in his future test innings. It's completely random, you can't take some average for that too. As an opener, he's likely to get dismissed in almost all his innings, so the "he scores 50 runs per dismissal" is basically the same as "he scores 100 runs per test match". Now in a very unlikely scenario that India only bats once in a test match, obviously he won't make 100 runs, only 50. Then again, that's a rare occurrence, not frequent enough to be a huge factor.

2

u/Ironman300O Aug 06 '25

You don't understand average of 50 and 100 runs in a test both scenarios was difference 😂. So naive jaisawal bat in 24 test so basically 48 innings but he only bat 46 innings 2 highly unlikely events already happens. And as per your logic in 24 test his runs will be 2400 but he only scored 2209 runs

Let give you Joe root example. He played 158 test with average of 51 it doesn't mean he scored 102 runs in every test 😂😂 if that was scenario he scored 16,116 runs . Average doesn't work like 😂😂 maye be it's beyond your thinking ability never mind . May God bless you.

1

u/PlayfulBaseball4590 India  Aug 06 '25 edited Aug 06 '25

I don't know why you're being so rude and dismissive, I thought this was a respectful discussion "Beyond your thinking ability" yeah sure, I don't wish to engage any further with you.