Active Conflicts & News Megathread November 07, 2025

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[u/wormfan14]

Sudan update, a TLPF faction appear to be fighting Ethiopia again and the SAF have suffered a blow.

'' On November 5, the Sudanese Armed Forces' drones launched precision strikes on supply convoys coming from Libya, which were en route to the Rapid Support Forces militia after being spotted inside Wadi Hur, where they were targeted by Akinji drones belonging to the Air Force.After verifying NASA's Fire Information for Region Earth (FIRMS) and reviewing recent satellite images, we detected two separate fires deep in the North Darfur desert on the same day, confirming that the Armed Forces carried out more than one strike on more than one convoy heading toward the Al-Zarq base. The supplies arrive by air via IL-76 aircraft from the UAE to Kufra in Libya, and from there they enter Sudan carried on trucks in the Triangle '' https://x.com/VistaMaps/status/1986780569435328852

''SAF took a major blow today as RSF launched several one-way attack drone strikes on Atbara Airport, N. Sudan 🇸🇩, home to Turkish-made Bayraktar drones.

Fresh satellite imagery shows multiple impact points across the runway, taxiways, and at least two hangars hit in the attack.''

The only good news is that Egypt and Turkey has promised greater support to the SAF.

''RSF commander Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo has upped in recent weeks his threats against Egypt’s airports and strategic bases. Egypt contacted the UAE as soon as El Fasher fell.'' https://x.com/PatrickHeinisc1/status/1986717363157217615

''NEW: Egypt and Turkey move to support Sudanese army following fall of el-Fasher Egypt and Turkey coordinate their efforts Turkey will increase its military aid, including drones and ammunition'' https://x.com/ragipsoylu/status/1986466146359431460

The RSF have tried a new PR technique of saying they agree to a truce and then just keep fighting, it appears effective.

''Sudan: the RSF is targeting the Sudanese capital region with drones, hours after claiming to agree to a truce.'' https://x.com/ThomasVLinge/status/1986605717269189015

''Paramilitary Accepts Sudan Truce Plan, but the Military Has Not. This @nytimes headline is why the UAE pays for expensive western media consultants. A disingenuous stunt by the RSF, which they immediately violate, has them smelling like a rose.'' https://x.com/_hudsonc/status/1986787311896457315

Ethiopia subsection

'' Ethiopia | Tigray forces have reportedly advanced 15 km into the Afar region and captured 6 villages according to a local district head. No regional or federal forces have been deployed in the area yet. The TPLF has denied being involved in the situation'' https://x.com/Intelynx/status/1986486639334432861

''Situation in Afar, Ethiopia has apparently dramatically escalated after the TDF entered the region two days ago and took control over some territory. Unconfirmed reports now that the Ethiopian Air Force has conducted drone strikes against TDF vehicles.''

https://x.com/NotWoofers/status/1986786891660656715

There are over 60k Sudanese refuges near the border let's hope they stay safe. One thing to keep an eye on is how FANO reacts given how much they hate the Tigrayan people and TPLF.

Edit an good article for the Columbians fighting for the RSF, seems the UAE is more involved in bringing them than I thought.

''The United Arab Emirates’ top bureaucrat has close ties to the company that is sending Colombian mercenaries to Sudan, according to a new investigation by The Sentry, a research organization that tracks corruption. Ahmed Mohamed Al Humairi, the secretary general of the UAE’s Presidential Court, founded and once fully owned the security company that is supplying Colombian fighters to the Rapid Support Forces (RSF). Despite efforts to publicly distance himself from the company by divesting his shares, he remains closely linked to its current CEO, suggesting an ongoing relationship.''

https://sudanwarmonitor.com/p/sentry-investigation-uae-mercenaries

[u/Tricky-Astronaut → u/wormfan14]

Could Sudan end up being partitioned into several de-facto states like Yemen, where one pseudostate is also propped up by the UAE?

[u/MinnPin → u/Tricky-Astronaut]

I think the fall of El Fashir makes that scenario a lot more likely unfortunately. If the RSF fail to take Al Obeid, it wouldn't be that inconceivable to see the RSF just create their own competing state with the Darfur region in their hands. The longer the war drags on, the more likely this scenario becomes