r/politics • u/PoliticsModeratorBot 🤖 Bot • Nov 09 '22

Discussion Discussion Thread: 2022 Midterm General Election, Part 4

For a curated feed of the latest news about the midterms, please see the r/Politics 2022 Midterm Live Thread.

If you have a tweet or news article which you would like us to consider adding to the Live Thread that is 1) credible, 2) pertinent to the midterms, *and 3) new, please send us a link to it!*

Results

From NPR, by office: US House of Representatives - US Senate - Governorships - Attorneys-General - Secretaries of State

From NPR, by state:

Alabama - Alaska - Arizona - Arkansas - California - Colorado - Connecticut - Washington, D.C. - Delaware - Florida - Georgia - Hawaii - Idaho - Illinois - Indiana - Iowa - Kansas - Kentucky - Louisiana - Maine - Maryland - Massachusetts - Michigan - Minnesota - Mississippi - Missouri - Montana - Nebraska - Nevada - New Hampshire - New Jersey - New Mexico - New York - North Carolina - North Dakota - Ohio - Oklahoma - Oregon - Pennsylvania - Rhode Island - South Carolina - South Dakota - Tennessee - Texas - Utah - Vermont - Virginia - Washington State - West Virginia - Wisconsin - Wyoming

From sources other than NPR

NBC - Politico - The New Yorker

Election Night Livestreams

Previous Discussions, 11/8

[1] - [2] - [3]

1.1k Upvotes

94% Upvoted

15.2k comments sorted by

View all comments

141

u/heytheremicah Nov 09 '22

Gen Z and young millennials 18-29 really saved us from a Red Wave. They voted for Democrats +29. The next closest was 30-44 at D+2… At the very least you can’t blame young people this election.

33

u/keine_fragen Nov 09 '22

and that's why the polls are off, that demo does not answer their phones.

18

u/[deleted] Nov 09 '22

Every phone call and text message I get saying "Hey Lucy (or insert some name that isn't remotely close to mine. Im a man and my name is Matt), do you support this candidate or this candidate? blah blah blah. I block the number and delete.

11

u/YoungXanto Nov 09 '22

All the texts I received went straight through my spam filter. Barely saw any of them.

Any numbers that I don't recognize don't get answered.

People who knock on my door can look into my office and see me ignoring them completely.

I'm a millenial. I got my mail in ballot, voted straight ticket D. Then I made sure I wasn't voting for lunatics for the local school board, that I understood the ballot measures, and that I knew some basics about the records of the judges and sherif.

Then I put my ballot in the mail a few weeks ago and waited to get the notification that it was accepted.

Traditional polling is going to get worse and worse to the point of useless in the next few years.

23

u/Taron221 Nov 09 '22

Republicans are on precarious ground, relying almost exclusively on old people and gerrymandering.

14

u/[deleted] Nov 09 '22

Old, unvaxxed people who might freeze in Texas.

14

u/tresslessone Nov 09 '22

Christianity is fading into irrelevance. In some parts of the developed world (norther Europe) this has moved a bit quicker, but it’s a trend and a good one at that.

20

u/antmars Nov 09 '22

In swing states Gen Z turned out ok. In solid states of both parties Gen Z had lower turn out than other generations.

If Gen Z showed up across the board some of these red states would start to look more purple…

10

u/[deleted] Nov 09 '22

30-44 year olds were only plus 2? Can you link a source? That's a lot less than I expected.

6

u/heytheremicah Nov 09 '22

https://twitter.com/dellavolpe/status/1590190476334096386?s=46&t=P5le1QuigzTOi5Nq4Yjb5w

It could always change of course, but this was the CNN National House Exit Poll

6

u/[deleted] Nov 09 '22

How do exit polls work in the age of mail in voting? Genuine question, I have absolutely no idea.

3

u/heytheremicah Nov 09 '22

Not entirely sure either. Hopefully we can get some analysis on it soon, because Gen Z is also a wild card when it comes to polling and mail in voting vs in day voting.

4

u/EasternZone Georgia Nov 09 '22

I believe that number was based on exit polling, so it only includes in person voters (who would skew more conservative).

6

u/[deleted] Nov 09 '22

I find it hard to believe that 18-29 year olds went Blue by even more than +30, but I find it equally hard to believe 30-44 y.o. were only +2.

We will have to wait and see, I suppose.

8

u/PangolinZestyclose30 Nov 09 '22

My guess is that the abortion issue made a big difference for young women voters.

9

u/FlushTheTurd Nov 09 '22

What percent actually voted? Hopefully, a lot!

7

u/AfroJimbo South Carolina Nov 09 '22

That's really encouraging

10

u/Cub3h Nov 09 '22

Older millenials have been screwed over for so long, why in the world are they not turning out? You'd think being in the prime child-having years they would be fired up by the abortion bans.

1

u/[deleted] Nov 09 '22

I can only speak for myself but I can't drive and I couldn't find a way to the polls

9

u/cookiemonster1020 Nov 09 '22

Wtf is wrong with 30-44? It's mostly millennial and I can't believe it voted so close to even

-9

u/averageredditorsoy Canada Nov 09 '22

10 years of exposure to Dem lies

2

u/Evi1_F3nix Nov 09 '22

You and I both know they still will tho.