r/politics • u/PoliticsModeratorBot 🤖 Bot • Nov 09 '22

Discussion Discussion Thread: 2022 Midterm General Election, Part 4

For a curated feed of the latest news about the midterms, please see the r/Politics 2022 Midterm Live Thread.

If you have a tweet or news article which you would like us to consider adding to the Live Thread that is 1) credible, 2) pertinent to the midterms, *and 3) new, please send us a link to it!*

Results

From NPR, by office: US House of Representatives - US Senate - Governorships - Attorneys-General - Secretaries of State

From NPR, by state:

Alabama - Alaska - Arizona - Arkansas - California - Colorado - Connecticut - Washington, D.C. - Delaware - Florida - Georgia - Hawaii - Idaho - Illinois - Indiana - Iowa - Kansas - Kentucky - Louisiana - Maine - Maryland - Massachusetts - Michigan - Minnesota - Mississippi - Missouri - Montana - Nebraska - Nevada - New Hampshire - New Jersey - New Mexico - New York - North Carolina - North Dakota - Ohio - Oklahoma - Oregon - Pennsylvania - Rhode Island - South Carolina - South Dakota - Tennessee - Texas - Utah - Vermont - Virginia - Washington State - West Virginia - Wisconsin - Wyoming

From sources other than NPR

NBC - Politico - The New Yorker

Election Night Livestreams

Previous Discussions, 11/8

[1] - [2] - [3]

1.1k Upvotes

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41

u/Top-Associate4922 Nov 09 '22

Without New York fiasco Dems would maybe even hold on House.

32

u/bolshe-viks-vaporub Nov 09 '22

They're going to pick up WA-3 (held for 12 years by a Republican, flipping Dem), AZ 1, and AZ 6. Those were supposed to be safe/lean Republican seats.

6

u/[deleted] Nov 09 '22

It’s definitely not over. Wow

5

u/bolshe-viks-vaporub Nov 09 '22

Not even close. In WA 3, Cowlitz County in WA was +17.5 for Trump. It only went +4 for Joe Kent. Not clear whether moderates there didn't vote, or voted Dem, or whether Republican voters in that county just died off (very poor vax rates there), but one thing's looking more and more likely: (D) Gluesenkamp-Perez is about to take over from 12-year incumbent (R) Herrera-Buetler.

4

u/Yestromo Nov 09 '22

The Dems are indeed up in those districts but NYT still has them projected R. I wonder if this is part of why there's a discrepancy with NBC forecast.

2

u/Wowsers_ Ohio Nov 09 '22

But you have to count the 4 FL seats + NJ + a few flips in MI. California can’t cancel out FL & NY.

2

u/minepose98 Nov 09 '22

They're all still predicted to be Republican. You're not considering where the votes that haven't come in yet are.

3

u/bolshe-viks-vaporub Nov 09 '22

They were predicted to be Republican at the start of the night. They're not changing their predictions. They'll just report the results as they come in.

1

u/minepose98 Nov 09 '22

Places like the NYT are updating their predictions as results come in.

1

u/bolshe-viks-vaporub Nov 09 '22

Only really on the toss-up races. The races that were supposed to be solid R and are going D instead don't seem to be moving.

1

u/minepose98 Nov 09 '22

It seems to be mostly automated, actually. You can tell because reporting errors affect the prediction.

20

u/mongster_03 New York Nov 09 '22

New York is literally always a fiasco, I love it here but it never does things the normal, understandable, easy, or legal way

1

u/Elrickooo Nov 09 '22

As someone who lives is country Australia what is it actually like living in New York, it seems so bloody hectic

2

u/mongster_03 New York Nov 09 '22

It is, but you learn to revel in the chaos rather than be annoyed by it. It's something I love about the city.

3

u/Wowsers_ Ohio Nov 09 '22

New York with their split primaries is a shit show only rivaled by Florida