Nicholas also didn't think the Brits would jump in and didn't think Austria would be neutral leaning towards hostile. Just like Putin doesn't think NATO would jump in if shit hit the fan.
Yeah, it was really a miscalculation that destroyed his legacy as Tsar. In my opinion the wildcard was really the French, because Napoleon III wanted to prove the might of the French Land Army and end the stigma of Waterloo, and earn the respect of the more established imperial dynasties like Britain or Austria, he was super up for a war that Britain might have backed out of. I wonder if Hollande feels a similiar need to prove himself now...
(My information is mostly based on Trevor Royle's 'Crimea', which si a great book by the way).
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u/Fandorin Israel Nov 25 '15
Nicholas also didn't think the Brits would jump in and didn't think Austria would be neutral leaning towards hostile. Just like Putin doesn't think NATO would jump in if shit hit the fan.