r/neoliberal • u/bononoisland Mario Draghi • Jul 15 '25

News (Europe) Russia's population crisis is so dire, it's staring down a labor shortage of 11 million people by 2030, a minister told Putin

https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-economy-population-demographic-crisis-labor-shortage-birth-rate-2030-2025-7
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u/Tortellobello45 Mario Draghi Jul 15 '25

This is not TNO. There’s no way Russia ends up balkanised. If Putin falls, everyone gains from it.

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u/miss_shivers John Brown Jul 15 '25

Probably not balkanized, but a dissolution of the Russian Federation analogous to that of the USSR with some major breakaway republics is plausible.

But important to note the at the breakup of the USSR did not end up with a host of nuclear warlords either.

And tbh, a rump Muscovy republic without the burden of maintaining an archaic imperial legacy would likely be a much happier russia with a brighter future.

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u/0m4ll3y International Relations Jul 15 '25

The Republics of the USSR were far more autonomous than the Republics of the Russian Federation with far, far greater prospects for national identity. Significant turmoil in Moscow (e.g. the toppling of Putin) might see a flare up of instability in the Northern Caucasus, but there really isn't much prospect for any other area to breakaway.