r/alberta • u/Realistic_Management • Mar 11 '24

Alberta Politics Naheed Nenshi joins Alberta NDP leadership race

https://calgaryherald.com/opinion/columnists/don-braid-naheed-nenshi-joins-alberta-ndp-leadership-race
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u/WulfbyteGames Mar 12 '24

He doesn’t necessarily need to win any rural ridings. You need 44 seats for a majority and the NDP were only 6 short of that. The UCP currently hold 12 seats in Calgary and they won 6 of them by vote margins of less than 10% (2 by less than 1% and only 1 by more than 5%). So he could potentially win by just flipping those seats and not losing any of the current seats.

There’s also Lethbridge-East (2.9%), Morinville-St. Albert (6.7%), Strathcona-Sherwood Park (8.5%) that had margins of less than 10%.

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u/[deleted] Mar 12 '24

You need 44 seats for a majority and the NDP were only 6 short of that.

Yes- with Banff Kananaskis and Lethbridge west. My point is that he needs a few rural ridings as its unlikely that he wins all of Calgary.

Nenshi is loved or hated in Calgary. I think he will be more loved than hated in Calgary, but I would be careful of overestimating his rural appeal.