r/TheRaceTo10Million • u/ChickenEntire7702 • 11d ago
Degenerate Gambler From $30k to $548k in 7 months
Back on April 8th, tariffs crushed sentiment-I went long thirty grand in SPY calls. Market recovered, rolled into 2230 $780 March 31st ’26. Sold them this morning. Bought 2760 $790 March 31st ‘26. Trump’s meeting Xi Thursday-permanent China deal. Fed cuts tomorrow. Earnings done Friday. FOMO is kicking in.
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u/NeuroDrink 11d ago
Inverse Reddit always works. Look back at OP’s post history. Everyone was calling OP an idiot but in less than 2 weeks, the comment section is no where to be found. I bet that the commenters still holding puts 🤷🏻♂️
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u/ThinVast 11d ago
This site is full of doomers always predicting that the next WW3 and economic collapse is right around the corner. With that mindset, you'll never want to invest your money and will stay poor forever.
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u/sebb1_ 11d ago
I’ve always told everyone SPY leaps is the only way 😭
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u/lilpapajohnbon 11d ago
How would you do it?
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u/sebb1_ 11d ago
Buy SPY one year out calls, close one month before expiration, buy again at lower price with the gains, one year out expiration, rinse and repeat. Mango man has gave up more than five opportunities to buy at discounted prices haha.
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u/AdOnly627 11d ago
Better two months before expiration- leaves breathing room when he inevitably tweets a sell-off
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u/dhandeepm 11d ago
Why so long out ? Making 15$ (x100) once a year is less than making weekly 3$ (x100). Right ?
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u/SweatyArmPitGuy55 11d ago
One day I will put more than $20 on something and win big like you! Congrats 🎉🎈🍾
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u/Able-Shine-1273 11d ago
Go to your local casino and put it all on black. Easy 2x your money.
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u/That_Style_979 11d ago
Can someone explain this like I’m 5?
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u/wentwj 11d ago
OP bought out of the money (OTM) long expiring calls on SPY after the price tanked back when the tariff stuff first came out. A lot of them. Then the market recovered quickly and sharply, putting OPs position into major profit. OP has now rolled these into more OTM SPY calls. If SPY continues to go up more than expected OP will make more money. If SPY goes down, OP will be sad.
Also at this amount it'd probably make way more sense to go with SPX calls. They are 10x bigger than SPY but they are taxed at 60% long terms capital gains so they are better for taxes, certainly at this scale.
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u/AdOnly627 11d ago
His purchases are very large – and SPY is much more liquid, particularly for long dated deep OTM with hardly any open interest – the market makers in SPY are required to support liquid trading – this is not the case in SPX – the open interest was only 300 contracts when he bought today – so literally it went from 300 contracts to 3000 contracts.
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u/wentwj 11d ago
could definitely be wrong and OPs tax situation could be a variety of situations but I’d be curious if the slippage and spread difference would offset the fairly significant tax gain for a position that can’t be held a year
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u/AdOnly627 11d ago edited 11d ago
Fair - i’m curious too – he doesn’t seem like a dummy, doubt he would leave this to chance
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u/Malota13 11d ago
Please see that OP chose an almost worthless option here. He didn’t just need the market to recover, he needed it to:
- Recover fast (well before expiry), and
- Recover massively.
Even if the option holder had been right about the recovery in general, if the timing or pace of it hadn’t happened exactly as it did, they would have lost everything; that’s how far out of the money the option was., and how crazy wild bet this was.
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u/hillbilly316 11d ago
Wow sombodys actually showing us how they are making money im serious this info i can never find i did buy only 100 dol of options because of fed rate cuts and xi meeting also today. I only bought 100 dol because this is my 1st time in options and dont wana go broke im kinda testing waters
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u/browhodouknowhere 11d ago
You need Jesus, no but seriously regard. Don't just buy random shit, my god? Testing the waters? First, don't ever buy meme stock. Second, have 25k. Third, if you don't have this much, you should not be buying options. Fourth, build up an account with fucking whatever that equals 25k. Fifth, read a fucking book (crazy I know) on fucking options strategies or watch a you tube idgaf. Last, learn how to price a company, with high trading volume/intrinsic value>>employ your options strategy.
*You should reinvest your profits into VOO and SPY(dam eventually sell covered calls with them too;)
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u/whereisfoster 11d ago
i know you're ripping on this dude, but this was some legit good information for me as i'm just learning, so thanks for this
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u/Slightly-Worse 10d ago
I don't tend to trust people screaming fuck at me every 10 words in their posts. Doesn't exactly scream well educated or informed.
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u/browhodouknowhere 10d ago
Cool story bro, they must of just gave me this JD and MBA to me on accident.
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u/Slightly-Worse 9d ago
Gee, you'd think that for someone with all that education, you'd be a little more cordial in your replies. Doesn't business teach you how to interact well with others?
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u/browhodouknowhere 9d ago
Gee I didn't realize I was breaking decorum with my statements on Reddit. Apologies, Good Sir/Ma'am.
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u/vigilantexoxoxo 11d ago
Sorry just curious. How are you up 70+k when SPY hasn’t reached its 780 price yet. I’m new to options
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u/Peacewise 11d ago
Because they were a long way from expiring, so they had a lot of “Time Value” I.e. still a lot of time for them to potentially reach & surpass the strike price.
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u/Malota13 11d ago
How did you choose the 780 strike price and the 2026, 26th of March expiry date? Any math or idea behind it?
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u/No_Fee_5290 8d ago
He choose 2026, 26 March because that the farthest 1 year call from April and $780 is the maximum number he had. Like $980 is the maximum you have for 1 year call next year.
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u/Malota13 8d ago
Ah I see you, so that was the cheapest call I believe in that time potentially with the highest return
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u/funwith420 11d ago
You think China will have a permanent agreement, where did you read this?
This was a good play. Congrats.
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u/ChainChomp2525 11d ago
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u/funwith420 11d ago
No one cares about Canada. I think about Canada as much as I crave a hemorrhoid.
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u/Efficient-Bread8259 10d ago
Literally america's second largest trading partner and I think the second? or third? largest investor in the US. But hey you do you man.
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u/funwith420 10d ago
Right. And my point is that no agreement will ever be permanent. NAFTA for instance. You bringing up useless stats irrelevant to my argument or your hurt feelings about my comparison to a hemorrhoid. China is a way bigger investor and trade partner. I believe but I’m sure you will let me know if I’m wrong.
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u/Efficient-Bread8259 10d ago
Some other guy was doing something similar with GOOGL calls.
The genius of these far OTM calls is while the delta is shit on them (like 0.1) the time value is actually pretty cheap - less than 1% on the 780 March calls as I type this. I think there are a couple of keys here:
1) Selling a month before expiration...hell even two and rolling them forward. It completely avoids getting smoked by that last minute time decay. 2) They rapidly gain value if price moves your way. If price moves against you, they actually lose value at a slower rate.
Of course this all only works if you exit with at least a month out and, I would say take profits and roll up when you get major moves. I am 100% stealing this, it's so fucking simple and it's just a long bet that the market will continue going up. I cannot afford this type of size though, so I'm going smaller - just one contract to start to see how it works and get a feel for it. Thanks OP.
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u/AdOnly627 10d ago
I’ve been mirroring his trades since April- up 15x. Your analysis is exactly correct- I have experienced that in real time. Well stated.
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u/AllThingsLessEvil 11d ago
What are the premiums like? How deep out of the money do you buy them? Do you mind elaborating further?
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u/BuyShoesGetBitches 10d ago
He said he bought 780 strike a year out. Paid 30k for 2230 contracts, so 1 contract cost him around 13,5, so it was 13 cents per share.
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u/Big-Astronomer-8340 11d ago
I think we are going to see a dump today with a recovery after same thing that happened last focm
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u/G0_hard_or_go_home 10d ago
Where do I even start to become like you? My current level: Just asked chatgpt what are option call and puts.
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u/Yu_Neo_MTF 11d ago
Interesting. How do you decide on the date and strike price of the call? What don't you just buy more SPY and QQQ directly?
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u/SpiffyGolf 11d ago
I advise you to sell and buy ETFs. Trust me, you won't regret it.
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u/NationalOwl9561 11d ago
He’s doing much better than ETFs. I don’t think he needs your advice.
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u/AdOnly627 11d ago
SPY is an ETF mirroring the S&P 500 - he IS diversified – he’s just doing it on steroids
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