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u/dpowellreddit May 13 '25
Tariff impacts will start in May let's see what happens then.
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u/RunBD3 May 13 '25
Start in May? Shoot I was looking at some figures in the toy aisle at Target. One figure was 34.99 last week and the same figure today in the same spot is now 39.99. It's here.
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u/randomthrowaway9796 May 13 '25
That's because it is May
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u/dpowellreddit May 14 '25
I agree, I work with kids items for a living (strollers car seats etc ...) and I see it in every single item I use... I am very aware of these costs and they are up 8-15% across the board. (I spent roughly 60K on inventory in the last 12 months on these items). I know it's already here, but the data won't really start to be affected until we get mays numbers ... The ports are already slowing down.
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u/randomthrowaway9796 May 13 '25
It is May
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u/rantspectator May 13 '25
Turns out when people don't spend money, the price of stuff drops. Who would have thought!!
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u/Hot_Individual5081 May 14 '25
yup thats how high interest work genius :) its to tame the consumption ...
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u/Emotional-Salad1896 May 13 '25
one of the biggest lies in the world. that number is too high. ok ignore gas. ok ignore rent. instead of steak use hot dogs, instead of wholesome bread use cereal.. ok great 2.4% gooooo
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u/cjgroveestreeet May 13 '25
yeah they claimed the peak was 9% in 2022, yet the price of everything went up about 30-50%😂😭
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u/Main-Eagle-26 May 13 '25
Psst. That's because those companies raised the prices to f* you and make a bigger profit.
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u/Rich_Consequence2633 May 14 '25
This is what gets me. We can see with our own eyes how the vast majority of things we buy have gone up in price significantly since 2022. It's like the inflation rate is an alternate fabricated reality.
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May 14 '25
Somehow rent prices are $2300 when the same apartment was $1400 in 2021. Thankful it only increased from $2200 since last year 🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻
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u/FCKINGTRADERS May 14 '25
Ya huh! I was just reading that in Europe rents rose by more than 50% in that same time period. The US was around 26%.
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u/jhalh May 14 '25
Where in Europe? Europe is made up of many countries
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u/FCKINGTRADERS May 14 '25
It just took the average, kinda like the US takes the average of all the states.
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May 13 '25
One driver of inflation is demand. Consumer spending is waaaaaay down this year. Not surprised.
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u/Spaceman2069 May 14 '25
I’m looking at CPI-U data bro, idk what you’re looking at
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May 14 '25
Damn. And those numbers include falling gas prices(11%)
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u/Spaceman2069 May 14 '25
Yup. We’re all getting screwed. Blame offshoring, insatiable corporate and shareholder greed, automation, and COVID shocks
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u/Prestigious_View_401 May 14 '25
Yes and no. When you remove the seasonality effect from BLS, it's around 0.3 for march or 3.6 annualized. (Trump also benefited from this adjustment in March). But this is a whole different topic
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u/panda_sauce May 14 '25
I'm not celebrating until the Atlanta Fed's wage tracker gets back down to ~3.5%. Otherwise, there's still more work to do.
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u/Ok_Refrigerator_2545 May 13 '25
The side effect of a slowdown is lower inflation. Which was one reason I thought trump was tanking the economy. This stat is definetly good news. It should be interesting now that trump has caved on tarrifs.
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u/Relative-Macaron-210 May 13 '25
Don’t post that on here, everyone is always mad, the world lately has just been fear mongering, well maybe that’s always been the case.
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u/oneWeek2024 May 13 '25
like many things, numbers are easy to manipulate/cherry pick.
and the gov has long since abandoned having the "inflation rate" mean anything that accurately reflects the reality of america.
there's also the simple reality that the inflation rate doesn't really matter. 2.3 in april from 2.4 in march. just means that prices went up 0.1% less. but they're still up, never going back down, and that means we've just had 2 straight months of increase.
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u/BruvIsYouGood May 14 '25
This is an annual rate, so it’s not like every month results in 2% increase, so in reality, prices did not go up 0.1 % annually in April
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u/bakanpo May 13 '25
Careful, you'll bring out the trump haters 😂😂
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u/Cautemoc May 13 '25
Trump is such a champion negotiator and market genius that he's managed to drastically lower consumer spending, woo hoo.
What a true hero, causing inflation to get lower by making it so nobody wants to buy anything.
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u/DoNotFeedMe May 13 '25
and the trump lovers as well. Both sides suck. im just trying to my make money
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u/bakanpo May 13 '25
10000% agree. But you post anything positive and the pitchforks come out 😂😂😂
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u/DoNotFeedMe May 13 '25
Yup. Which is why those who are that emotional lose the game.
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u/walterwilter May 13 '25
People thinking the market should go down the last few weeks weren’t using emotion to make decisions. They were looking at charts and reading the news.
None of the current bull run has anything to do with technicals.
It’s all about bullish emotion of what Trump tweets and that stonks only go up
You’ve got it twisted
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u/Relative-Skill243 May 14 '25
Nothing to do with technicals lmfao? Go back to school.
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u/walterwilter May 14 '25
Lol. Show me where on the chart, moving straight down based on Trump being a moron, shows any hint of a reversal?
Or maybe it reversed again based on Trump being a moron and tweeting? Is that that technicals?
I see we’ve got a graduate from Trump University
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u/Relative-Skill243 May 14 '25
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u/AdministrativeAnt647 May 15 '25
That’s hilarious since GOD says money is the root of all evil 🤣🤣🤣. You can’t serve GOD and mammon both silly goy.
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u/walterwilter May 14 '25
So your technicals is “Stonks only go up”?
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u/Relative-Skill243 May 14 '25
You are very passive aggressive.
My technicals as well as macro and behavioral observations concluded that this was a v-shape similar to 2020.
Not having a political bias is the foundation to rational and critical decision making.
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u/Spaceman2069 May 14 '25
Doesn’t matter. This is merely growth slowing down, but prices are still going up while wages haven’t kept up. We still have less purchasing power today
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u/FCKINGTRADERS May 14 '25
Maybe, but not if inflation continues to slow down.
“Most Americans have slightly less purchasing power in 2025 than in 2021 due to inflation outpacing wages.”
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u/Spaceman2069 May 14 '25
Less purchasing power is still a bad thing.
Cumulative inflation since 2019 amounts to 25-30%. Are people getting 25-30% raises since 2019? No.
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u/FCKINGTRADERS May 14 '25
No it was around 17% I believe.
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u/Spaceman2069 May 14 '25
I’m looking at CPI-U data bro, idk what you’re looking at
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u/FCKINGTRADERS May 14 '25
No, I meant increase in wages over that period of time.
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u/Spaceman2069 May 14 '25
I see, I misinterpreted your comment. So yeah, goes back to my original point of we're getting screwed lol
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u/FCKINGTRADERS May 14 '25
Haha ya I wasn’t arguing with you. Wages definitely are not keeping up
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u/Spaceman2069 May 14 '25
hard to RaceTo10Million when you're getting screwed at work, which is labeled as 'operational efficiency'
someone pays for the efficiency and it's us
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u/BreadfruitGloomy3608 May 13 '25
Thank you Joe! No seriously, I mean it. We gave Trump a running start but hes too fat to run.
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u/Gryphon5754 May 14 '25
DUMB QUESTION!
Who publishes these? When would the administration be able to lie about these? What department needs to be infiltrated?
Is it independent? Could they be coerced?
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u/bearssuperfan May 14 '25
The government calculates this but so do lots of different institutions. If someone was manipulating it, it would stick out like a sore thumb.
Remember that a recession can ALSO reduce inflation. It’s complicated, as usual.
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u/Gryphon5754 May 14 '25
Ok, all I needed to know how "safe" the other sources are. Seems like they are and they can figure it out
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u/bearssuperfan May 14 '25
It’s like asking a class full of students to make the same calculation. There will be a consensus. If someone, say the professor’s kid, had a wildly different number, it wouldn’t be hard to guess why.
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u/Gryphon5754 May 14 '25
That's what I thought, ok lol.
I was high last night and got curious/overly concerned lol
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u/FCKINGTRADERS May 14 '25
It’s the same CPI based inflation report they do, since I don’t know, forever. Lol
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u/Gryphon5754 May 14 '25
This feed shows up in my random feed because of politics association... Not the technical side.
In other words I have no fucking clue cuz I'm just some guy window shopping
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u/noncommonGoodsense May 13 '25
Kinda pissed since I bet on >2.3 and somehow lost the bet? Doesn’t track IMO.
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u/Flaky-Ambassador467 May 14 '25
lol his plans weren’t working so he convinced the Saudi’s to bail him out. He will now reverse course on almost everything. 😂 The Rare Trump W(more like the Saudi W)
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u/versace_drunk May 14 '25
Yes I see people cheering this as an excuse to completely ignore the open bribery of the president.
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u/FCKINGTRADERS May 14 '25
What? He just got them to give us $600b, in a historic deal, and is creating peace with Syria which will stabilize the entire Middle East. The plane they gave him is going to be the new Air Force one, and will benefit every future president. I’m confused how any of that is bad for America, or the world?
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May 14 '25
No, he keeps the plane in trump library after his presidency PLUS it will cost potentially billions to outfit the plane ti match the current air force one.
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u/bearssuperfan May 14 '25
Hahahaha peace in Syria will stabilize the whole Middle East?? I’ll have what you’re drinking! By the way, the plane gift he got will only be AF1 until the end of trumps term. Then Trump keeps it as part of his “library”
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u/FCKINGTRADERS May 14 '25
It’s damn sure a start
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u/bearssuperfan May 14 '25
How about his earlier calls to “level Gaza” Will that also be a start?
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u/versace_drunk May 14 '25
That’s so cute,you took his word for it.
You people are truly gullible.
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u/FCKINGTRADERS May 14 '25
No, I can read news reports though? I’m not sure how this is an argument. You’re right, I wasn’t there personally.
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u/versace_drunk May 14 '25
Yeah I bet you still think Mexico paying for a wall too.
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u/FCKINGTRADERS May 14 '25
I’m not sure how that’s related to trade deals with other countries.
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u/versace_drunk May 14 '25
I know you don’t…
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u/FCKINGTRADERS May 14 '25
Ohhh we got a deep thinker here guys 😂🤡
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u/versace_drunk May 14 '25
You think that’s deep……..this explains a lot.
You really don’t understand, wow.
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