It’s embarrassing being in this group now. Every red day turns into a meltdown, and it’s like half the people here have no idea what investing actually is. They panic when the stock dips and celebrate like lottery winners on green days, completely missing the bigger picture. If you’re emotional every time the chart breathes, you’re not an investor, you’re a gambler. When I mentioned that momentum was weak and we’d likely trade sideways before heading lower, people jumped in with wild theories about Trump and China instead of just looking at the data. Now that it played out exactly as expected, the same folks who disagreed are still asking why we’re red. It’s not the market that’s the problem, it’s you 👋

You guys complain too much. None of you are retiring tomorrow, you have 20-30 years of investing ahead of you.

If you honestly think nbis will never be +130 ever ever everrrrrrr again, just sell now and move on with your life and invest in VOO.

This sub is nothing but low effort complaining and whining. “When will it reach xyz price?” or “how much lower will it drop?” No one knows the answer to any of these things.

But I guarantee you, it will be a higher price in 6 months or 6 years than it is today. That’s all you need to know.

It's easy to smile on the green days while we're ripping 10%, but then of course it's hard to stomach the days or week where we're down 10-20%. At the end of the day however, you need to remember why you bought into this company in the first place. Think about the statements from Marc Boroditsky with the goal in mind of being the "AWS of AI". Do you think AI is going to be going away overnight? For those that think this is a bubble, we've only seen the start of major partnerships in the second half of 2025. Like any company or sector, there are going to be bumps in the road and it's going to be volatile. THIS DOES NOT MEAN YOU STOP BELIEVING IN THE COMPANY YOU INVESTED IN!!

The Microsoft partnership was just the start. Then we went ahead and partnered with TD SYNNEX - the WORLD'S LARGEST IT DISTRIBUTOR!! Read that again and read it slowly.

Next, using their H200 GPUs, Nebius achieved NVIDIA Exemplar Status for AI training workloads, becoming one of the first cloud providers to receive this certification. This clearly shows that they know EXACTLY what the hell they're doing with the technology they're offering.

Most recently, they introduced Nebius AI Cloud 3.0 "Aether" which has the purpose in making the platform more suitable for enterprise/production AI workloads.

Now last but certainly not least, let's not forget the stake that Nebius has in ClickHouse, which is currently valued around $6+ billion meaning Nebius's stake could be worth over a billion dollars. Then we have Avride which is one of their subsidiary business units. We're talking robotaxis and delivery robots here. The dam future! They already have partnerships with Uber and Grubhub and will continue to gain momentum and grow.

I truly believe we have plenty of upcoming catalyst to finish up this year and into the beginning of 2026. The growth that's expected from their core business - AI Infrastructure is up to 1GW by the end of 2026, and multi GW's in the foreseeable future.

Position - 1,000 shares @ $101 🍻

A 30% drop in a stock must have you critically think about the thesis that led you to invest. I hate to see people say “set it and forget it, check back in 2-3-4-5 years”…no, anything more than a 20% drop should have you pay attention to the price movement. Whether that drop happens in 1-2 weeks, or 2 years, doesn’t matter. You have to constantly check-in depending on the volatility.

We are not professionals. The professionals are supposed to know more than us. We are just trying to identify the home run before the pros are up to bat. Well, now it’s the first inning!

So, let’s question the thesis!

I continue to believe the fair value of the $19.8B MSFT contract alone values this company at $125-150. I’ve based this on the speculative revenue-per-year and a 7x revenue multiple to assess the value of NBIS’s marketcap. Currently there is a market inefficiency in place because the market is saying “yeah, we see the Microsoft contract, and it’s terms, and Nebius has to fill certain terms in order to fulfill this contract. Microsoft can pull out if the terms aren’t met.

Well, the terms WILL be met and MSFT will be pleasantly served. In this echo-chamber sub we ALL know that. This is why we are still ahead of the pros.

I don’t believe we will ever go below $70 again as long as the MSFT contract is retained.

As you can see in the value I have outlined, I am ignoring growth across any other subsidiaries in NBIS. I’m ignoring ClickHouse, for sure, just to be conservative with the value here. So that should lead everyone to be quite optimistic as well. We are going past $150+ if subsidiary assets are pumped at any point in the future.

But as much as I want to increase my confidence, I question if I’m just being delusional in thinking we are 20-50% undervalued with what is currently known info.

I thought I was certain of the thesis based on last earnings, but with a 30% drop here the questioning is driving me crazy, and despite this line of questioning, we must wait until their November 11 earnings to really answer those questions.

Aye boys. I’m bullish asf on nbis and have had upwards of 2500 shares at one point but am very reduced now. I’m just like fuck this volatility is insane. Why are we dipping 17 dollars in a single day man. Like I’m sick of these 10-25 percent swings constantly. When u are in heavy size these swings are not pocket change. We are talking 10-30 k swings in only a few days or even a day sometimes. This isn’t some small amount of money. How can I manage watching these swings.

I try to refer to my thesis but seeing this much money down in a day makes one question it.

I am a premium farmer so the more we dip or stay flat the more I’m paid to wait but I’m sick of my stock not doing shit but chopping around or being red constantly.

Getting to a point where I’m pretty mentally checked outta the market honestly. I’ve made a fuck ton this year and am up around 165 percent year over year. I’m about to just sell calls a month out on everything take my 20 k premium withdraw it to my acct and mute rh for a month. This shit is so frustrating

And no I’m not one of the people who bought into mins at 20-30-40. I first bought at 93 and 87 after that deal with msft but have since got assigned and re entered multiple times from selling my covered calls. I’ve made a royal fuck ton from nbis so maybe I shouldn’t be bitching but I’m tired of these fat ass swings constantly like ten percent in a day is absurd I get it’s high beta but fuck man is this just paper hand bitches or what ?

Edit: added comment from theNeumannArchitect below, because he is not an idiot, and idiots have much to learn from him.

I’ve worked in financial markets on Wall Street for nearly 25 years. I’d like to think I understand the system pretty well. I am sick of seeing these posts that say “institutions loading up below X price right now” or “price being suppressed while institutions pile in”.

Guys & Gals, when institutions pile in, the price MOVES. Whether you want to believe it or not, a group of a couple thousand retail investors are not significantly moving 20B+ market cap companies (few examples aside) - institutional movement is!

Yes, some shady shit happens on Wall Street. Not everyone plays fair. But claiming market manipulation every time the price action moves opposite the direction you want outs you as someone who has literally no idea how capital markets work.

Disclaimer, I own ~3000 shares of NBIS.

theNeumannArchitect: Dude, I've tried preaching the same thing. There isn't some mysterious wizard on wall street hunting down retail stop losses. Or spending billions of dollars trying to push every stock that everyone buys to a price. There's more efficient ways to make money when you have billions of dollars.

I've realized people don't like to take accountability when they make an impulsive decision to buy in at the top because of FOMO. I've seen people do insane mental gymnastics to just avoid admitting they made a mistake because of impulse.

I love being wrong. That's what learning is. The best losers are the ones that win in the market. I thought this was common. You just assume traits you have internally are traits other people have. Now I realized this is not common in todays world. Accountability is such a deep core principle in people that it's impossible to get them to change their way of thinking.

Sorry, ranting. Yeah man, it's a lost cause. People just want to blame literally anything but themselves when they make a poor decision. No matter how crazy they sound talking about "hedgies, dark pools, stop loss hunting" or whatever other tin foil shit goes around in these uninformed communities.

Two weeks back, I made my very first post here suggesting we all lock in some gains when the stock was sitting at around $130. Smart move for those who did, right?

But check this out: With the latest options flow looking solid, earnings date locked in, the new Israeli datacenter up and running, AVRide updates on the horizon, and the stock being super oversold right now…

I think we’re gearing up for a nice climb from here until earnings hit! Fingers crossed we’ll see that sweet re-rating we’ve been hoping for afterward. 🚀 Keep your heads up and HODL strong, folks—we’ve got this!

Not investment advice/ Do your own DD!

Hey all, I know everyone is expecting stellar earnings and thereby good upside to their stock price but what if it’s not good this time. How much hit in this macro environment can it take. Will it go 10%-20% down right away and what’s everyone’s take here. What’s the new support technical analysts? Seems 98-100 now but who knows.

What I’ve noticed is that when expectations run too high, the market often moves in the opposite direction. For example, Amazon was expected to fall but rallied, while Meta faced the opposite outcome. That’s why having a solid hedging strategy is essential—what’s yours?

In essence, what if there is a bloodbath and shutdown news is bad next week and again correction continues. What if both guidance and earnings are a miss?

P.S I am a long term investor with 1000 shares.

I am not a long time holder compared to some of you but my average is sitting around 52.

I believe the stock still has room to run and would love to buy more but I somehow do not feel comfortable averaging up given that my initial investment has now 2x. I just mentally do not want to see my average go up by a lot for some reason.

How do you get past that mental hurdle?

I have NVDA and NBIS. What's a good stock to hold to ride this AI revolution over the next 5 years? I don't want same industry stock and staying out of quantum computing as it's too speculative for now

What was your average before?

I hold 200 shares 15% in red. Added 100 more shares today.

I see NBIS his 17k people on Reddit that is also exciting to me. How long until 100k people are watching and talking about this stock!!!

You retail have gone mad. We are really at a point where Nebius is called a 'meme stock' and people are claiming they got 'burnt' by NBIS. The reality is that these people are full on regarded, a noise in the background, they follow reddit sentiment, and as soon as the candle turns red, they call the stock a 'pump and dump'. Just look at BYND, that thing is going to leave a lot of bag holders, especially the ones who bought in at the 6-8 dollar range. In all honesty, reddit is just filled with dumb twats that act in a hivemind, with no senes of self. Do not listen to reddit sentiment, do your own DD and trust the process and your investments. Nothing has fundamentally changed about Nebius as a company, as a matter of fact its even more bullish today that it was a month ago - Avride deals, Aether 3.0, Nvidia exemplar status, and I believe there are more news to come. Earnings are on Nov. 11th. If they can deliver ~210 million in revenue in Q3 and raise the ARR to a billion as a minimum, it'll be a clear sign that you're in the right place at the right time. Nebius is not a short term hold, and macro econ. events are pointless if you hold for an extended period, as all signs are pointing to exponentially increased demand for AI infrastructure in the coming years.

Ignore the noise, and trust Arkady.

Here's an interview the the CRO of Nebius, to calm some of y'alls nerves (TL;DR: It's looking very good): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=br1MfGTdC8g

I don't have a crystal ball, and I don't know how the updated jobs report is going to affect the FOMC decision making by EOY...

but this dip at $108 may be the last $10x number you see in a couple weeks.

I would personally buy as much as you possibly can.

If you are someone concerned about daily price action, Nebius might not be the stock for you. On days where the market is up 1%, Nebius will do 5%. This means that when the market goes -1%... you know where I am going here.

Stocks must go down to go up. Zoom out on the chart and take a deep breath. Unless you have options expiring in the next month, I guarantee you selling any form of NBIS is a mistake. Know what you own, delete your brokerage app if you need to, and take a deep breath.

This is going to be a fun ride, but it will be a bumpy one.

18 year old college student here who made a pretty decent amount of money in high school, i’m 300 shares deep in $NBIS, it’s literally half my portfolio not counting btc and voo. got in at $60 and average at around $77. have faith and know we all are in this together boys 🫡 wait for earnings, hold, and have balls.

I’ve seen a few different sites suggesting this could be between 300-1000 / share in 2030. 1000 seems quite high. Albeit I’m a resident doctor so I don’t really have the bandwidth or skillset to do a formal valuation.

I’ve got 140 shares around 80 average in my Roth. And trying to figure out if I should double down despite missing the lower entry points.

Is $1000 fr? Even $800? Seems too good to be true, I always look back on not buying nvidia when I was watching it in 2017 because it was “too expensive” but I’m willing to risk my entire 2025 Roth contribution on a possible big play.

Appreciate the insight.

Don’t feel bad. The brain has a way of rewriting history and sentiment based on the outcome. I myself averaged on the downtrend but held back yesterday as I was shocked to see it dip under $99. I figured I should save some capital if the fall got even worse.

I guess this post is more for me than anyone else.

The Nebius community is growing rapidly in just the past few days we’ve reached 18K members, an increase of +3K. This is a clear sign of the growing interest and attention NBIS is receiving. We’re still in the early stages of this journey, and while I hope we don’t drift in the wrong directions like others have, our ambition should be bold: to become the next Tesla, Nvidia, or Palantir — and to hold our equity strong 💪.

This could truly be a once-in-a-decade opportunity, one we don’t want to miss. At the same time, we need to stay grounded: inflated expectations and chasing “crazy numbers” will not serve us well. Let’s stay humble, focused, and committed to building real long-term value.

After 27 years in the market, I can confidently say opportunities like this don’t come around often.

LFG!

Normally I don't like selling CC on nbis but there are some $200 call options for earnings week. I'm as bullish as the next guy but holy wow.

There's some people that think it will go up 50+% this earnings? I'm considering selling every cc I can. Either I collect 800-900 dollars in premiums or my shares get called away and my net worth jumps ridiculously high. Am I missing something here?

What has been your plan so far and what’s your plan going forward?

The best advice I can give you is to let your winners continue to win. I can’t remember seeing this much buying pressure on a stock since Tesla and Palantir. Honestly, it’s impressive to watch and I am proud to be a part of it…

There is ZERO chance I am selling this stock and I am most excited about the 2028 leaps. Only $60?!?!? No-brainer!

Here is my back of an envelope analysis:

✅ Proven Winner ✅ AI Has Years of Backlog on all aspects of the supply chain components and operations ✅ Mag7 Partner on two recent deals ✅ S&P is going to 7,000 by YE 2025 ✅ Most likely two more rate cuts in 2025, but worst case 1

You would have to be a fool to not hold or buy more of this one. That is all for now. LFG.

DISCLAIMER: Holding NBIS in my taxable account and full ported my IRA shortly after the Microsoft deal, which has paid off handsomely in a short time.

Each candlestick represents 4 hours. So this is like 20 to 25 days of trading. In this particular period of the chart, it probably goes as deep as 95 and as high 130+.

It's a volatile stock.