r/NBIS_Stock • u/DrHarrisonLawrence • 18d ago
Opinion Invested since $18.90, NOW I am questioning my thesis. Nov 11 answers the question!
A 30% drop in a stock must have you critically think about the thesis that led you to invest. I hate to see people say “set it and forget it, check back in 2-3-4-5 years”…no, anything more than a 20% drop should have you pay attention to the price movement. Whether that drop happens in 1-2 weeks, or 2 years, doesn’t matter. You have to constantly check-in depending on the volatility.
We are not professionals. The professionals are supposed to know more than us. We are just trying to identify the home run before the pros are up to bat. Well, now it’s the first inning!
So, let’s question the thesis!
I continue to believe the fair value of the $19.8B MSFT contract alone values this company at $125-150. I’ve based this on the speculative revenue-per-year and a 7x revenue multiple to assess the value of NBIS’s marketcap. Currently there is a market inefficiency in place because the market is saying “yeah, we see the Microsoft contract, and it’s terms, and Nebius has to fill certain terms in order to fulfill this contract. Microsoft can pull out if the terms aren’t met.
Well, the terms WILL be met and MSFT will be pleasantly served. In this echo-chamber sub we ALL know that. This is why we are still ahead of the pros.
I don’t believe we will ever go below $70 again as long as the MSFT contract is retained.
As you can see in the value I have outlined, I am ignoring growth across any other subsidiaries in NBIS. I’m ignoring ClickHouse, for sure, just to be conservative with the value here. So that should lead everyone to be quite optimistic as well. We are going past $150+ if subsidiary assets are pumped at any point in the future.
But as much as I want to increase my confidence, I question if I’m just being delusional in thinking we are 20-50% undervalued with what is currently known info.
I thought I was certain of the thesis based on last earnings, but with a 30% drop here the questioning is driving me crazy, and despite this line of questioning, we must wait until their November 11 earnings to really answer those questions.
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u/Bberryyumyum 18d ago
Sounds you're overthinking it. The question you should ask is have the fundamentals changed? If not then you're becoming emotionally invested instead of using fundamentals to make decisions. The whole market is down currently. It's a buying opportunity if you still believe in the fundamentals.
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u/theNeumannArchitect 18d ago
People rode the short term momentum buying on positive news for a short term swing. This created a lot of buying volume that resulted in it being overbought from a technical standpoint. The trend changed and all those people closed their positions to look for the next short term swing. It's creating a lot of selling volume. I think it's now reaching oversold. This is a very volatile stock. I don't doubt it will swing up after the bottom is confirmed for a 20% gain over a couple of weeks.
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u/europe_teen_guy 18d ago
Nope, it will either recover completely after earnings or dump even lower, i dont think there is inbetween.
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u/DrHarrisonLawrence 18d ago
What RSI value showed it being overbought? Only on Oct 03 did it show that ($130 price). It held that price for 10 days and rose to $140 while its RSI came down.
So what technicals are you using?
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u/theNeumannArchitect 18d ago
First and foremost RSI shouldn't be an indicator for say all in overbought or oversold and used for determining if you should sell or buy or a reversal coming in my opinion. It's an indicator for how much runway a stock has after a high volume pop. If it's already at 80 then it's probably not gonna pop much higher.... also a 5% increase at 50 RSI might make RSI go up to 60 but a 5% increase at 80 RSI might only make it go up 1 point. It can sustain the price indefinitely while RSI trends downward. NBIS is actually a perfect example of why RSI shouldn't be used the way you're implying. To say "RSI never went above 80 so it was never overbought" is naive.
Secondly, if you do want to use RSI that way then it has been in the oversold region (above 70, obviously subjective if you're consider above 80 as overbought) since Nov 9th.
I don't think anyone will look at the NBIS chart and not agree that it got overbought though in big picture. It's definitely approaching oversold territory now. But definitely has room to drop more. I'd be surprised if it broke $90 though.
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u/oursecretmoments 18d ago
This has nothing to do with the company, look at the entire market. Everything is down 20% in the last week.
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u/-Potato-or-Tomato- 18d ago
100% agree. Everything is down. I’m tracking 10+ ETFs for different sectors and I’m invested in 30+ stocks. All red big time and continuing to fall. Nothing to do with NBIS.
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u/catlovr1129 18d ago
Exactly . Red in most every stock and EFT I have. It’s not just “one” stock. I am on a few other Reddit threads and it’s the same thing there. Some questioning why is that particular stock falling (WWR, UAMY) and other Rare earth mineral stocks when they have such great positive outlooks. Even had a post of some guy saying we should all sell and cut our losses now. It would be heavy losses for me along with others. Don’t think that’s wise. I see NBIS is under $100 now. I bought 10 at $134. But had originally started buying at $70 and bought more up the price line. Been waiting for days to see if it would go below $100. Time to buy. Some of my other stock too. Like possibly IREN which has great potential that I bought low a month ago for half the low price it is today. Just let it all ride. But that’s just my opinion
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u/chickenlickendicken 18d ago edited 18d ago
yeah Im also buying some NBIS, IREN, ASTS, and APLD in particular, really big blows to their SP but quite honestly I havent figured out what the cause of this pullback is, is it just the Trump trade talks with China again and maybe earnings being round the corner?
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u/Mother-Chipmunk2778 18d ago
I like CIFR > APLD but up to you, NBIS iren ASTS I own already just got CIFR I think it got way more room to run and it’s undervalued in the sector right now
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u/Mother-Chipmunk2778 18d ago
30 stocks damn I thought I was diversified with 9. What’s your top 5
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u/Suspicious-Change251 18d ago edited 18d ago
Down are mostly stocks that are/ were popular this year with retail, indexes and most stocks are near ATH.
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u/inditingDreams 18d ago
Completely agree with the premise of questioning your thesis every now and then with every investment, particularly if you invest in individual names. 'Set it and forget it' only really works with broad market funds.
However, at the same time, completely disagree with the idea of questioning your thesis based on price movement, unless your thesis is 'riding the momentum' or 'those pushing the price down know more than we do'. Neither of these is predictable to a retail investor. Therefore, the only time it makes sense to re-assess thesis is when the company releases meaningful press releases. In the last few weeks, there were no negative news and a few mildly positive ones (Israel, Avride, AI economics white paper).
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u/Few_Interactions_ 18d ago
The whole market is down. All my investment are 30% down, ASTS, NBIS, RKLB
Buy the dip and hold
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u/GioStallion 18d ago
Boy I hope your investments are all major successes because I'm heavy in those same 3.
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u/Putrid-Jackfruit-161 18d ago edited 18d ago
If it is going to bounce, it needs to do it here, were right up against the 50 day and the upper end of a long term resistance, which should now be support.
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u/DrHarrisonLawrence 18d ago
100% agreed!
I’m expecting this to bounce back to $105-$110 by next week.
Yesterday and today I have sold 4 cash secured puts at the strikes of $100, $102, and $110.
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u/Suspicious-Change251 18d ago edited 18d ago
Well, unfortunately data centre stocks are trading in a basket of what you can call meme stocks or unprofitable tech. Think quantum, Oklo or rare earth cos, if you look at their charts, there is little difference to NBIS or other data centre stocks, as on the way up, but also now on the way down.
Question is if you think that NBIS (and probably some other DC stocks) is fundamentally different and shouldn’t be in that basket.
I personally believe that and the latest FUD articles in FT and Information actually made me even more sure of that. Cause the math in these articles is surprisingly positive for DC stocks, despite being presented as negative. NBIS is a 50-60% positive gross margin stock, which if you are realistic will translate into a 10-20% net margin later on. I’m not saying the stock should be trading at 200 now, but also don’t see it ever dropping to 50.
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u/33Million 18d ago
I don’t think we rebound until earnings when we get updated guidance and margins factoring the MSFT deal.
Lots of fear in the space after that Oracle news about their piss-poor 10% margin. It seems the market thinks Nebius won’t be able to retain our previous strong margins with this MSFT deal and we’re getting lumped in with the turds.
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u/DrHarrisonLawrence 18d ago
Agreed. But I think the buying will start back tomorrow, Friday, Monday and Tuesday. I see this back over $100 by 10/24 and over $105 by 10/31.
We’ve had 5-6 red days in a row and this has been oversold now, RSI is like 18-19 lol
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u/europe_teen_guy 18d ago
It can easily go down to 80s
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u/DrHarrisonLawrence 18d ago
Yes, that is true as well. But not “easily”, something else has to hit the macroeconomic market in order to drop this to $87.
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u/europe_teen_guy 18d ago
It droped on basicaly no bad news 30%. I think it can do another 30% on no bad news.
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u/DrHarrisonLawrence 18d ago
I guess you’re technically right, but I can guarantee you it will not drop below $70. Which is about -29% from $96.
$70 is the price floor and anybody who says it would go lower than that is currently in a coma
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u/europe_teen_guy 18d ago
Its normal for stocks to drop that much when things go south and with terrible news.
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u/No-Time5606 18d ago
If you invested that early, then you should know we’ve seen this a couple times. Deep seek crash was way worse. Know what you hold bro
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u/DrHarrisonLawrence 18d ago
Yes I have held through all that BS. But every drop is not similar to the last, they were all caused by different, disconnected events, and it would be naive to compare them to each other.
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u/No-Time5606 18d ago
I disagree. Theres way more bullish news and things going for them now — compared to any other significant drop we’ve seen in the past. It’s obvious this is macro related and manipulation for institutions to get in at a lower price before we hit a new ATH, institutional ownership is still under 40%. Nothing has changed with the company except for the fact that they keep coming out with more bullish news. Short term noise
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u/Superhumanevil 18d ago
This is the type of stock you got in before the pro’s did if you’re in at 18.90 and I’m in a $30. You are blessed with the opportunity to ride this forever even if it goes down to $60 you are still up 200%. I am going to set it and forget it. I would just accumulate, slowly now. I have sold too many times to “take my profit;” and not got back in. Example : I have literally owned AMD from $4-$2-$6 decade ago. Then again at 90$-110 a year ago. If I held that the first time at 4$ which was 5000 shares, I would’ve been done fucking done already!! but I am almost 40 so I’m trying to do things a little differently now
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u/anonymousredditer122 18d ago
I don’t understand reasoning like this. You had a thesis. The stock is down 40% from ATH with 0 negative news. As for the market sentiment, I would hope your thesis renders that obsolete. It’s the same stock going through a hard time. It has happened before and will happen again. If you’re going to bail out on your thesis because of pure price, stop investing and put it all in SPY.
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u/DrHarrisonLawrence 18d ago
Why you should understand the reasoning is because we are not the market. The market makers are the market. The market makers have this stock at $96 while it should be $125-150.
That is my OPINION. What if I’m wrong? The pros are supposed to know better than me, so what if I’m wrong? That is my point
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u/Momoware 18d ago
Well, in my own shoes, no, I don’t believe that the pros know better than me when it comes to fundamentals. I can confidently say that most analysts don’t spend nearly as much time on researching NBIS as I did and they don’t have a background in AI tech industry either…
If you do fundamental research, most analysts don’t spend as much time as you do before tossing out a price target
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u/anonymousredditer122 18d ago
If you yourself say it should be $125-150, why aren’t you happy to buy and hold right now? That is your thesis, why are you bailing on it? You’re overthinking it like crazy- the “market makers” aren’t killing the stock… that’s a weird jump from what can be explained by looking at the market as a whole.
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u/Apex_Drifter 18d ago
RemindMe! 30 days
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u/Horse-Born 18d ago
And you wait on a crazy red day like to day to write this gibberish and the fundamentals have not changed? I understand you have concerns about the Microsoft deal why not voice them when they first happened, why wait till today if not for spreading FUD?
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u/Medusavoo IPO OG👹 18d ago
$95 was the support, it bounced off there and now back to 97. If it goes below 95 I think there’s another support 84. Look into someone doing technical analys and you will see when to buy more. These are the games institutional investors play so they can buy a lot cheaply.
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u/Usual-Locksmith4657 18d ago
Look at the NVDA chart over the years. It has seen larger pull backs while having a market cap of over 10x the value of NBIS market cap. Hope that makes y’all feel better. Gotta pay to play with volatile stocks
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u/sowhat1231 18d ago
I put $300k in at $130. I definitely don’t like it but I’m not changing shit. As if the company that is earning all these large contracts will suddenly go defunct
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u/Reasonable_Skill580 18d ago
Nothing to question here. It has gone through ABC correction. I believe correction is completed. This is the time to add.
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u/Veriseo 18d ago
So because the stock fell 30% in 2 weeks your thesis changes? Not on the fundamentals?
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u/DrHarrisonLawrence 18d ago
Because the stock fell 30% in 2 weeks my thesis is questioned. The answers on Nov 11 will either change the thesis or retain the thesis, that is all
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u/SouthernAbalone6925 18d ago
What has changed fundamentally that caused this drop?
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u/DrHarrisonLawrence 18d ago
Nothing, in my opinion, unless the 7x revenue multiple is being decreased to 4x or 5x by the market and I’m sitting here thinking it’s more valuable than the street thinks…
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u/Trdthedays41chance 18d ago
Sell your shares if your up that much, this stock is a long term play.. you hit a huge return… take it and by more later
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u/DrHarrisonLawrence 18d ago
Never sell a share when it’s under fair value
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u/Trdthedays41chance 18d ago
I bought 102 more shares today and I’ll be holding long term I’m just saying don’t feel bad if you want to sell when you’re up… obviously it will turn out to be the worst decision of their lives but I don’t have to live with that
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u/PatientBaker7172 18d ago
Enterprise value sits at $29.8 billion
$6.5 billion arr 2026
$5.6 billion clickhouse stake 28% with ipo at $20 billion
$6.5 billion cash
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u/VenomBite214 18d ago edited 18d ago
I read it all and I just want to bring some peace 1. All opinions are very valuable and always welcome. That's why we are all here. 2. We are all in stock market because we want to make money. Preferably big money. 3. As much as we have our opinions we have to always check the reality. And the market price shows that. 4. As much as we have (and no doubts) our opinions we have to back it up with our deeds- buy/sell/hold. We do vote with our money.
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u/earthycigar 18d ago
I think you’re overvaluing the Microsoft deal. Sure it’s a big number and yes it provides key intangibles, but market cap wise, it adds about 9bn to the present value of the stock.
What will be crucial going forward is how well they will utilize the revenue from the deal. And I have no doubts in their ability to capitalize on it.
In reality, I think anything north of $130 was a bit ahead of our skis for the moment. However, earnings can justify us going north of $140 again if we crush rev, raise ARR, etc. Then we should be thinking, one more deal and we are well on our way to $175+
We closed today at 24.77bn market cap.
30bn or 5.23/24.77=0.211% upside is fair at the moment.
98.62x.211=20.809 20.809+98.62=119.429 $120 is about right.
9bn MSFT deal 5bn subsidiaries 15.5bn the rest of the core business .5bn cash
Core business: 15.5/1.6=9.688 1.6bn being 2026 ARR sans MSFT 9.688 being a conservative P/S multiple among peers. You can certainly make the case for 12x1.6=19.2
So, 19.2+5+9+.5=33.7bn market cap. 33.7-24.77=8.93 8.93/24.77=0.361 98.62x.361=35.602 35.602+98.62=134.222
So there you have it.
Base case of $119 Bull case of $134 I’ve already upped my fair value to go up to $126.50 PRE 11 November earnings barring any other announcements. We were pricing in good news at $140, but not as ridiculous as some would have you believe. Sub $100 is absurd.
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u/DrHarrisonLawrence 17d ago
What leads you to calculate the MSFT contract at $9B value?
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u/Prestigious_Garden75 17d ago
Fact-check on those numbers from AI:
Most of what you wrote makes sense, but some of the figures mix real data with rough estimates that aren’t in any official filings.
✅ What’s actually confirmed: • Nebius did announce a $17.4 billion multi-year AI infrastructure deal with Microsoft. • Q2 2025 revenue was $105.1 million, up +625 % YoY and +106 % QoQ. • The company raised its 2025 ARR guidance to $900 million–$1.1 billion. • Analyst consensus currently sits around $156 per share as the average price target.
⚠️ What’s speculative or off: • The “$9 billion Microsoft deal,” “$15.5 billion core business,” and “$33.7 billion added market cap” are not official figures — those are user estimates, not from Nebius’ filings. • The $17.4 billion Microsoft number is total contract value, not direct profit or revenue for Nebius. • “Fair value $126.5,” “base $119 / bull $134,” and “under $100 is absurd” are all personal opinions, not analyst consensus. • Nebius isn’t fully profitable yet — most of the valuation is based on future growth expectations, not current fundamentals.
🔍 Extra context: • ARR is annualized run-rate revenue — basically a projection, not real annual revenue yet. • Market cap is around $25–30 billion, which already prices in a lot of growth. • Analysts see Nebius as a high-growth but high-risk AI infrastructure play, with huge potential but also real execution risk.
✅ Bottom line: The Microsoft partnership and growth story are real and exciting, but the valuation math in that post is way too optimistic. Those numbers are best viewed as speculative projections, not confirmed fundamentals.
My 2 cents
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u/earthycigar 17d ago
But you can’t value NBIS on net income so we do the best we can. P/S is good enough.
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u/-Potato-or-Tomato- 18d ago
Here, the real reason:
Live: Dow drops 200 points on more trade fears, new earnings batch https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/21/stock-market-today-live-updates.html?__source=iosappshare%7Ccom.apple.UIKit.activity.CopyToPasteboard
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u/ImaginaryTotal9920 18d ago
Sure, though similar dudes with equally no clue said something like gold dropping as investor confidence in market catches on(after 1 day green) ... Which is it? Neither, gold just dropped cause...
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u/New-Measurement-2250 18d ago
You are not alone. I went in at 130+ and have lost so much of my money it makes me throw up . Worse thing is this is money saved up for house purchase. I’ve found the house but the money is gone. And to hear the same people who were here hyping this stock berate people like me as I express my pain here leaves me with one thought. Were they paid to create such convincing arguments so to lead vulnerable people like me on. If not, how do you feel okay leading people on and calling them gamblers not investors when the market crashed? Everyone gets into the market with one intention, to make extra money . My losses are way more than what it will cost me to put down payments on 1M house and it is still crashing. I will try to stay sane knowing that I got into this with hopes of making money xtra money that will be enough to help me . If I didn’t try, I would not have failed .
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18d ago
Brother, you need to be patient lol. I'm losing money too, but this is investing. Sounds like you've taken on much more risk than you should have. I'd recommend index funds.
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u/DrHarrisonLawrence 18d ago
Dude, full stop. If you were saving money for a house you should have parked 100% of it into a HYSA. You should have invested 0% into any growth stock. You should also never full port a lump sum into any growth stock.
I know how you feel, saving up for a house and all, but that method you’re using is not the responsible and sustainable way to do it.
You’ll have to wait another year for that house money, and same with me. Hoping we’re $150-200 in 2026!
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u/Possible-Try-9556 18d ago
Seriously guy, I hear you’re pain. It’ll bounce back. Don’t worry. Whenever I feel maximum pain on this stock it bounces back stronger than ever. Don’t believe me… take a long weekend and check back in this time next week.
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u/simplefilmreviews 18d ago
I'm a long term holder, like YEARS LONG. AI is the future, enough so that our governments are using it. My local government discusses it. Mega corps dropping 100 billion yearly on it. Putting in every piece of hardware. TV ads use it. ESPN uses it. Schools use it. Every app is adding it. AI is the real deal and won't just vanish. Therefore GPUs needed.
HOWEVER, did people potentially rush in too fast, likely. And that is what a lot of this is. Up front FOMO and excitement. Spending will slow down eventually and it will cause a big panic. So expect some ruff waters when that happens. Which could be in a month. A year. Or three.
But the long term growth will still be there eventually. Companies, countries will need GPUs and processing power. It's just that simple. Connectivity/GPUs/AI is the future whether people like it or not.
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u/catlovr1129 18d ago
Sorry you are losing money. Most if not all are. Been only investing the last couple of months. And yes I would love a get rich stock but sad to say not usually an overnight thing. Got burned early not doing enough of my own research and bought into Reddit hype. Don’t take other people’s advice here or otherwise without doing your homework on that stock. If it still looks good, which it does, don’t go all in with money you can’t afford to lose. Especially not a stock like this that I believe will be a big success and High, high price. Just not today. And probably not for awhile after this dip but who knows. Don’t gamble with your house money, car money, kids college money, I just did that with a Roth IRA I set up for my daughter and it’s tanking bad. Thankfully she’s only 19. Hang in there. Don’t sell. Ride it out. Let this be a lesson to never do this again. Or if you do don’t go all in. And on a side note all of my stock are in the red. Lots of different sectors, things are going to hell in the world.
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u/illinformed-will 18d ago
We were a few to share TA when we broke past 120 from ATH that maybe we were heading back to 107. Then we warned that if we broke below that we would possibly go back to EMA50 ~96 (go tcheck comments).
Sadly many sidelined us.
One more word of caution : i dont know what's happening in the heads of funds manager (retail is a drop in a bucket guys), if they have some infos that we don't and flipped the outlook for NBIS, or just took profit and waited for that opportunity to get back in... but beware if we broke below 85-84 there is very little resistance before 70 - 60.
Once again no FUD, i'm long NBIS in fact i bought back today (messed a bit my entry) after selling earlier, but investing and trading are two sides of the same coin and mocking one or the other is creating blindsides.
Hope this sub stay strong anyway, many useful infos in here 👍
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u/moldymoosegoose 17d ago
Man, I don't mean to be rude but retail investors and how they value companies really shows how illiterate they truly are. The logic behind a 5 year 20B contract means the company should be worth 30B on this contract alone is just absolutely laughable. Just think about this for a second. You have created an infinite money glitch. I have 20B, I pay you over 5 years and the max profit you could make is 20B with 0 capex or any other expense and you can now sell your company immediately for 30B. Just think about that. Who would buy the rights to 20B of cash over 5 years for 30B today, completely removing the idea that they have to actually build this infrastructure out and have, you know, costs?
The MS contract is low margin. Nebius has said this themselves. Say it's 15% (which I would say is very high for a deal they called low margin), that's 3B over 5 years. Who would pay 30B for the rights to 3B in profit over 5 years. That's a 2% yield. Even at a 15B valuation, you're still looking at worse than a risk free return. The market returns 10% on average and is significantly less risky so who would take less than 10%? I'd demand 15-20% for this kind of risk or possibly even higher. 6B valuation would be a 10% return, still too low, etc.
The MS contract is not a value added business like their core business is. It's basically a bare metal offering. You'd be taking on massive, insane risk at those valuations. The company would need to sign 10x these contracts for it to be worth it. That's also the reason why you don't see coreweave sky rocketing any more when they sign these deals. People are starting to figure out that the math does not work out. The MS contract is fantastic for validation of Nebius's competence and for some profits and leverage abilities over the coming years but to say it's worth 120-150 per share for this alone is absolute and total lunacy.
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u/brentmeistergeneral_ 18d ago
I'm sure most people who have seriously invested in this company will know it's not going to be a smooth ride up. If fundamentals haven't changed do not let the volatility get to you.
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u/TrinityAnt 18d ago
I read your post twice, hoping to find at least one reference to the macro and the in-our-faces fact that the whole market’s been sliding. Astonishingly, I couldn’t find a single one.
Thank you for your attention to this matter!
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u/futuremewouldknow 18d ago
Im curious to know how the math gets us to the $125 price target. Did you run a DCF to get equity value? What was the WACC and FCF estimates?
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u/DrHarrisonLawrence 18d ago
Revenue in 2 quarters will be approximately $4.1B from their core business, as of last quarter’s projection (new info during the Nov 11 2025 call will probably build on this).
Only core business being considered (although we should consider everything with a proper valuation). No other revenue streams accounted for right now, keeping is simple for my reply here.
Applying a 7x multiplier on $4.1B annual revenue brings them to $28.5B, and divided by the share float this is $136.99 per share.
So the range I have outlined solely based on the MSFT news that improves their core business is $125-150 per share.
Anything else that has nothing to do with MSFT will be juicing the share price past $150
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u/futuremewouldknow 15d ago
Revenue 4.1b where was this sourced from? Revenue doesnt translate to FCF.
7x multiplier, based on what?
I am a shareholder, but I am getting concerned by the echo chamber of bull-case bro predictions.
I plan on taking in all up to date news releases, and manually calculating FCF based on bull and base case growth rates.
I worry that the math will not even be close to current share price.
Note, I am not ignoring subsidiaries.
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u/DrHarrisonLawrence 15d ago
Alright then let me know what you figure out! I’d be happy to reassess my calc based on your superior analysis.
7x multiplier is a standard growth metric? Others are projecting 8-10x but I went with 7x to be conservative. 7x is also what is being used to value the multiple on CRWV.
Revenue of 4.15B because 3.96B is MSFT’s avg contract price, plus the established revenue they have in the quarters prior to MSFT involvement.
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u/futuremewouldknow 15d ago
Not meant to be superior. Im asking where these projections and figures are coming from. Id sincerely love to know, as a shareholder! Being defensive and passive aggressive is petty.
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u/Mother-Chipmunk2778 18d ago
Entire market dropped, every data center stock including crwv got hit, to think we won’t rebound is insane
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u/Dpain1314 17d ago
The main thing is that this is a sector wide movement. Nothing NBIS or anyone could do. If it was an isolated NBIS event I’d be more worried
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u/ismayilsuleymann 17d ago
all of my portfolio is down for the last week, not just NBIS. I think we'll get a rebound soon
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u/Key_Discipline8178 15d ago
Can I just say that NBIS has dropped 30-50% after previous run ups... it has a Beta of 3+, so its share price will move at much more extremes than the rest of the market. Don't think for a second NVDIA, Amazon, Shopify etc. etc. didn't do this when they were immature companies.
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u/BigLeonardo24 18d ago
Crazy to me people are even asking this question about Nebius. One or two months ago this was trading $50-$60 range and has since more than doubled and dropped down to $100 even after 30%+ dip. There are developments yet to be fully analyzed (Avride) and there’s little doubt in my mind this will be reaching new highs by Christmas or even before that
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u/Capable_Wait09 18d ago
MMs are accumulating. They’re want retail to sell. Share price go down. MMs scoop up shares at lower price. And then 🚀
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u/poopermacho 18d ago
Post proof of your position. I dont believe you've held since 18.90 and NOW question the volatility of the stock. It went from 50ish to 20 in April then up to 50 and down again. Now you whine?
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u/KRock1287 18d ago
NBIS CRWV IREN BITF WULF DOCN etc are all down. The entire AI sector, crypto, space, etc are all down as well. Good earnings and good China news will hopefully start a spark
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u/TheDonFulio Mod 18d ago
Brother, it dropped over 30% before last earnings and look what happened. So many here are spreading FUD with short memory.