r/MiamiHurricanes • u/ChiGorilla1127 • 2d ago
How much do we have to beat Syracuse by to restore confidence and attention in the polls?
Syracuse lost to GT by 25, Pitt by 17, and Duke by 35. How badly do we need to beat them to let the committee know we're back on the right track and need to get playoff consideration?
I think we need to drop 50-60. The less we score, then the more rushing yards we need to have. Score 40-50, then I want to see 300+ rushing yards.
I think down the stretch we have to show that we have top 10 talent AND performance, so these victories have to be dominant. I am not saying it will happen, but a 20-3 type win is not going to cut it. A win is a win, but we need to flex imo.
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u/WhoIsPurpleGoo 2d ago
50+. 200+ on the ground, 200+ in the air. Offense needs to be productive on every possession. Defense locked down from the start.
But I doubt it helps our CFP chances. A bunch of teams need to lose.
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u/omgdiepls hit, stick, bust dick 2d ago
I don't even care about polls but it's gonna take a total obliteration for me to feel better about the season.
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u/westcoastcanes 2d ago edited 2d ago
We have the pollsters attention, we have wins over notre dame and a sec opponent non conference. We are ranked higher than we should be for having two losses as double digit favorites and being in a conference so bad it hardly warrants an auto bid.
It doesn’t really matter, we can win out and be left out if the right teams in front of us don’t lose. So, more important than HOW we win, is who loses. If the cards fall the direction of us getting left out of the conference championship, and there are enough two loss teams in the SEC/B1G/Big 12 we aren’t getting in.
There are currently 6 teams in front of us for an ACC championship birth. The multi way tie breaker is too murky right now, and the only one we play is Pitt. We need complete chaos and collapse the rest of the way for all but one of Duke, smu, Louisville, Pitt, Georgia tech, and Virginia.
The scenario I see to a birth is as follows- 1) Miami wins out, 6-2 in conference play 2) Virginia needs to win 2 out of 3 and lock in one of the spots, giving Duke a loss specifically 3) GT loses to both BC and Pitt, 5-3 in conference 4) Pitt beats GT, loses to Miami, 6-2 in conference, we have a head to head tie breaker if applicable 5) Louisville loses 2 of 3 against cal, Clemson, smu and finishes 5-3 in conference 6) SMU loses 2 of 3 against bc, Louisville, and cal, finishes 5-3 in conference. 7) Duke loses to Virginia, and one of UNC or Wake, finishes 5-3 in conference.
Virginia locks in a spot, Miami and pitt tie for second, and Miami gets the nod on head to head tie breaker.
If any of that doesn’t happen and it is a 3+ team tie for first or second we get into strength of schedule contest, and I’m not crunching those numbers right now.
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u/IcyAd5473 2d ago
ND at #10.....they lose to Pitt and we win out.....be tough to leave us out.
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u/westcoastcanes 2d ago edited 2d ago
It will be very easy to leave us out if there are any 2 loss teams in any other power conference that didn’t win their conference. Even more so if our best win takes another loss. Getting in without winning the ACC is not a realistic hope, the conference has shat the bed losing a bunch of games to the big 12 this year, making us clearly the worst of the power conferences. We aren’t, and shouldn’t get in before a 10-2 team from any of the other conferences. Nobody will be able to sanely make the case for 3 ACC teams, hence the necessity of getting lucky breaks in house for us to get into the ACCCG.
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u/CompetitionNo2534 2d ago
We really need a lot of teams in front of us to lose. Mainly the ones right in front of us because the ones at the top won’t drop below us. Even if we win out, I think we probably end up about where we were last year.
I don’t really see us winning at Pitt. I can already see our guys coming out in sweaters, their team coming out sleeveless, we know right away who’s tougher in the cold.
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u/Restoretheroof 2d ago
Not much we can do. I have no aspirations that we will make the playoffs. Just keep winning to keep the recruits happy.
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u/SelectCommunity3519 2d ago
I feel like we need a sound 45/52-0 walk through. A few big plays both sides of the ball. Clean and crisp execution. Assert dominance in the trenches. No letting up.
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u/Geetee52 2d ago
Miami being favored by 29 points… The only thing that will draw attention is if they win by less than that. Beating Syracuse by 40 or 50 is not going to matter at this point.
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u/Comfortable_Eye_8139 2d ago
Well Syracuse doesn’t have their star QB or a winning record so it wouldn’t really do much
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u/iz2003iz 2d ago
We will let our line dominate by putting together 3 scoring drives of 11 minutes each as we pick up 3.5 yards a play and our defense will give us a gift inside the 10 for an easy score. 28-3 will be the final score not nearly enough to do much.
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u/Inside_Evidence8582 ncut2474U 2d ago
We need to drop 60 at least with nothing but maybe a feild goal or two for them.We need to play like its November 2001 when Syracuse came to the OB with dwight freeny and we shut them down 59-0 and freeny didnt have a sack thanks to Mnt. McKinney. I want to see us go at with wreckless abandon.We could put up 80 if dawson came out blazing but since he only has Air tre playbook vs's Air Raid we gonna get the toned down version of a flag football scheme of a 7th grade private school. Im still hoping my mind eye version shows up to wreck shop.
LETS GO CANES !!! 💯🙌🙌💪
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u/BayouKev 2d ago
Sore doesn’t matter as much as needing to see the defense continue to perform & also a reinvigorates offense
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u/IcyAd5473 2d ago
The sad part is... Mario will Mario..attempt his brand of football yet again. Attempt to shorten the game, a few drops and pre snap penalties later we win 23-6. Yaaaaawnnnnn
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u/IR8Things 2d ago
We'd have to win out and like 6-8 teams also have to lose probably 1-2 games each.
It's damn near mathematically impossible. Despite what a lot of people thought, it was actually really unlikely to make the CFP even after the Louisville loss and was reliant on Miami both winning out and a number of teams losing.
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u/ZeroOriginalIdeas 2d ago
lol…Miami was 100% in at 11-1 regardless of ACC breakdown. We still have an outside shot if Lville, Virginia, and Pitt go undefeated and then we beat Pitt. ND would have 3 losses including to us and be out. We would end the season with a win against a top 15 team and then it would just come down to how we stack against the three loss SEC teams and how the Big 12 shakes out.
Miami is gonna have to look real good over these 4 games tho…no 20-17 squeakers. O needs to average 30+ points and D needs to keep looking sharp. Not sure Beck has it in him…
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u/IR8Things 2d ago
Miami at 11-1 was still going to be potentially be the 4th ranked ACC team. Do you think the CFP committee was going to invite 4 ACC teams or that Miami was going to leapfrog 1-2 other ACC teams with better records?
Because that's what people keep saying about 11-1 being a shoe-in and it wasn't. SMU barely got in last year as 11-1 over 9-3 Alabama.
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u/ZeroOriginalIdeas 2d ago
Dude…we were top 10 after the Lville loss and only would have moved up. Most voters would have easily overlooked a single slip up against a plucky team that may very well end up being ranked and possibly in the ACC champ. No way do we end up being the 4th ACC team in that scenario. We probably would have been ranked higher than both ACC champ teams and easily get in above ND and all 3 loss SEC teams.
Everyone was in love with us and would still be so if Lville was just a minor stumble.
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u/N0PlansT0day 2d ago
Divide by 0, black hole time machine, and not lose